Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) continues to trade sideways

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) continues to trade sideways

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) continues to trade sideways

Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday and continue to trade sideways. Prices appear to be turning over, as concerns over the coronavirus subside. The dollar surged higher breaking out to fresh 4-month highs which are generating headwinds for gold prices. US yields moved higher and riskier assets gained traction taking the risk premium out of gold prices. Household debt surged to a 13-year high, as consumers continue to buy on credit.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

The projected upper bound is: 1,594.84.

The projected lower bound is: 1,539.88.

The projected closing price is: 1,567.36.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 32 white candles and 17 black candles for a net of 15 white candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 67.9167. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 11 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 54.13. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 11 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -48. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAU= closed down -1.889 at 1,565.531. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 34% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
1,567.4301,570.1781,561.1601,565.531 74,129
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 1,568.98 1,531.85 1,463.12
Volatility: 13 11 15
Volume: 7,413 1,483 371

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

PREC.M.XAU= is currently 7.0% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 2 periods.

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