Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) continue to form a bullish pendant pattern
Gold prices moved lower for a second consecutive trading session and continue to form a bullish pendant pattern which is a consolidation pattern that eventually refreshes higher. This follows a large surge in prices last week. Riskier assets traction on Monday recapturing the losses seen on Friday. US yields moved higher across the interest rate curve, as the dollar gained traction. This follows a sharp downdraft on the dollar last week that saw the greenback fall 3.4%. The rescue package passed by lawmakers should begin to provide some relief beginning this week for small businesses.
The Fed Sees a Huge Rise in Unemployment
The Fed’s St. Louis district project total employment reductions of 47 million, which would translate to a 32.1% unemployment rate. The projections are even worse than St. Louis Fed President James Bullard’s much-publicized estimate of 30%. They reflect the high nature of at-risk jobs that ultimately could be lost to a government-induced economic freeze aimed at halting the coronavirus spread.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1,685.37.
The projected lower bound is: 1,543.93.
The projected closing price is: 1,614.65.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 29 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 8 white candles.
A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 75.7560. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 54.51. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 72. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed down -8.392 at 1,613.537. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 165% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,571.18 1,590.35 1,510.90
Volatility: 37 28 19
Volume: 1,894 379 95
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 6.8% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 0 periods.
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