Home Commodities Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) break through $1,280 brings $1,240 -$1,220 into play

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) break through $1,280 brings $1,240 -$1,220 into play


Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) break through $1,280 brings $1,240 -$1,220 into play

After Monday’s short-covering rally, which caught many off guard, gold reached resistance and has been coming down ever since. Once again, gold is getting close to a decision point and a break through $1,280 brings $1,240 -$1,220 into play.

The current direction in metals is down and nothing will change that until the pattern changes. As we have written for weeks, gold is a sell at resistance and has a chance to break down completely. However, the price action is the key, and gold and silver will find a bottom. The only question is when? Investors should hold tight and traders should be selling rallies.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1,297.68.

The projected lower bound is: 1,256.29.

The projected closing price is: 1,276.98.


A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 33.5029. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 43.42. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 60 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -50. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 14 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAU= closed down -9.250 at 1,277.150. Volume was -0% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 32% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1,286.1001,288.8941,274.5101,277.150 0

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,287.06 1,291.47 1,256.08
Volatility: 10 10 11
Volume: 0 0 0

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


PREC.M.XAU= is currently 1.7% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods.

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S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Economist at Knightsbridge holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Crypto, Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.