Global Recession Concerns Fade 

Global Recession Concerns Fade 

Global Recession Concerns Fade

Concerns for a world economic slump have faded among CEOs, who are now focused on hiring and retaining top employees, an annual survey found.

Global CEOs polled by the Conference Board, a New York-based researcher, ranked a global recession as their 19th concern out of 28 choices, down from being the Top worry a year earlier.

Failure to attract and retain talent was the #1 concern, followed by creating new business models and cash-flow volatility, according to the C-Suite Challenge survey, conducted from September to November.

The shift in concerns from a cold economy to a hot one mirrors an upswing in global growth and declines in unemployment, including the lowest level in the US since Y 2000 and an 8-year low in the Euroarea.

Other major worries include new competitors, developing leaders and cybersecurity, while Brexit, terrorism and America’s departure from the Paris climate accord were at the bottom of the list.

“A big change from last year’s survey was factors that CEOs can’t control are further down on the list and ones that they can control are further up,” Conference Board chief economist Bart van Ark, a co-author of the report, said in an interview.

The report, out Thursday, is based on responses from 561 CEOs and 475 other senior executives from more than 50 countries. Formerly called the CEO Challenge, the survey began in 1999 and was expanded this year to include other officials such as chief financial officers and chief information officers.

CEOs’ Top Concerns

Global U.S. Asia Europe Latin America
Failure to attract/retain top talent 1 1 1 2 1
Creating new business models because of disruptive technologies 2 2 2 3 2
Volatility in cash flow 3 4 3 7 3
New competitors globally 4 7 5 1 4
Developing “Next Gen” leaders 5 3 9 6 5

Source: The Conference Board’s C-Suite Challenge 2018

While Brexit was a relatively low concern globally, it was # 8 among CEOs in Europe, unchanged from the prior year.

US CEOs expressed more concern about declining trust in political and policy institutions in America.

Among other issues, concern about income inequality rose to 7th from 18th among global chiefs.

Threats to global trade rose to 8th worldwide from 15th, as The Trump Administration withdrew the US from the Trans-Pacific Partnership and considered pulling out of NAFTA.

Above all companies are trying to cope with a tight labor market and find workers with needed skills.

“They are trying to get the talent piece right,” said Rebecca Ray, another co-author and an executive vice president at the Conference Board.

One way to deal with the issue is to tap temporary or freelance workers, according to the report. In one portion of the survey, about 80% of CHROs (chief human resources officers) said they agree with the statement that the share of contingent workers and freelancers will increase.

The use of automation and robots is also likely to rise, according to the survey.

Stay tuned…

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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