First Gulf Bank (FGB:AD) Long Term Bullish Outlook

First Gulf Bank (FGB:AD) Long Term Bullish Outlook

First Gulf Bank (FGB:AD) Long Term Bullish Outlook

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

The projected upper bound is: 13.47.

The projected lower bound is: 12.11.

The projected closing price is: 12.79.

First Gulf Bank

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 17 black candles for a net of 5 white candles.

An engulfing bullish line occurred (where a white candle’s real body completely contains the previous black candle’s real body). The engulfing bullish pattern is bullish during a downtrend (which appears to be the case with FIRST GULF BK). It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bears to the bulls.

If the engulfing bullish pattern occurs during an uptrend, it may be a last engulfing top which indicates a top. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes below the top of the current (white) candle’s real body.

Momentum Indicators
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 97.4359. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 43.84. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -34. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FIRST GULF BK closed up 0.200 at 12.800. Volume was 24% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 111% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
12.550 12.800 12.500 12.800 2,435,374

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 12.75 13.25 12.32
Volatility: 61 33 34
Volume: 2,213,442 2,122,159 1,963,958

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary
FIRST GULF BK is currently 3.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of FGB.AD at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on FGB.AD and have had this outlook for the last 6 periods.

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