F1: Abu Dhabi Favorites for Pole and Victory in Season Finale

F1: Abu Dhabi Favorites for Pole and Victory in Season Finale

$RACE

It is time to face the final curtain of the 2019 season. Ahead of what could be an emotional finale for a number of drivers, here is who we expect to get the job done at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.

Of all the tracks on the F1 calendar, MercedesAMGs’ record at the Yas Marina Circuit in the post-2014 turbo-hybrid era is the most impressive. Every Pole position, every win, and 5 straight front-row lock-outs, the longest streak by any team at 1 venue.

Pure form dictates that 1 of either Lewis Hamilton or Valtteri Bottas will do the business Saturday in Abu Dhabi, with the other starting alongside. Hamilton has the most Poles of any driver on the grid here with 4 although only 2 of those were taken with MercedesAMG, in Ys 2016 and 2018, while Mr. Hamilton now has not taken a pole position since the German Grand Prix in July. Mr. Bottas, meanwhile, was on Pole in Y 2017, meaning the pair are tied 1-1 for Poles here in their time together at MercedesAMG.

But, with both Ferrari and Red Bull Racing having undone similar MercedesAMG’s Pole streaks this year, in Belgium and Japan in Ferrari’s case, and Brazil in Red Bull’s, there’s always room in F1 for a bit of an upset.

If that upset to come from anywhere, though, expect Ferrari to be team. True, the team have never been on the front row in Abu Dhabi. But the SF90 is now almost certainly the most aerodynamically efficient car on the grid this year, useful on Yas Marina’s 1.14-km straight, while those aerodynamics have also been honed by the team to make the car better in the twisty stuff too, which should pay dividends in Abu Dhabi’s street circuit-like Sector 3.

Max Verstappen, on the other hand, has started 6th on the grid for the last 3 seasons there, so the odds look pretty long on him taking his 2nd Pole in as many races.

And the winner is…

As with Poles, Messrs Hamilton and Bottas are once again tied 1-1 for wins here during their time together as MercedesAMG team mates. And with the Pole sitter having won the race here for the past 4 seasons, and the race having been won from the front row at all but 1 of the 10 Abu Dhabi Grands Prix so far MercedesAMGs’ qualifying form here bodes well for the race-day chances of Messrs Hamilton and Bottas.

The Big Q: Can anyone stop them?

The Big A: Sebastian Vettel is a 3X winner at Yas Marina. But crucially, those wins all came when he was armed with arguably the best car on the grid, a Red Bull racer, in Ys 2009, 2010 and 2013. The Ferrari team, on the other hand, have led just 11 out of the 550 laps ever contested at Abu Dhabi.

So once, again, if you are not a MercedesAMG driver, form suggests that your race-winning prospects look bleak this weekend.

Still, Kimi Raikkonen managed to beat the might of Red Bull, McLaren, Ferrari et al to win for Lotus in Y 2012, so upsets do happen there.

Ferrari is the Aristocrat of the automotive sector.

Enzo Ferrari’s iconic Italian Supercar manufacturer claimed the title according to the latest Brand Finance Global 500 2019 report launched at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

HeffX-LTN overall technical outlook for RACE is Very Bullish, overhead resistance is NIL and Key support at 170.21, as all Key indicators turned Very Bullish and the stock has established long term support ahead of this breakout.

Ferrari finished at 170.88, +0.84 Wednesday in NY.

Ferrari will continue to create value in the long term. Ferrari is a quality 1st long term luxury products investment, and I see it at 200+/share in that frame.

Ferrari will continue to create value in the long term. Ferrari is a quality 1st long term luxury products investment, and I see it at 200+/share in that frame.

Have a terrific weekend

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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