F1: The 2017 Monaco Grand Prix Preview

F1: The 2017 Monaco Grand Prix Preview

F1: The 2017 Monaco Grand Prix Preview

$RACE

Ferrari has not posted a win at Moanco since Y 2001 when Michael Schumacher’s took the Chequered Flag. 

Mr. Schumacher’s 1997 Y win was Ferrari’s (NYSE:RACE) 1st victory there since Gilles Villeneuve’s victory 16 years prior. Before that the Maranello outfit went 20 years without a Monaco Grand Prix win between Y 1955 with Maurice Trintignant and Y 1975 with Niki Lauda.

The Big Q: What is The Scuderia’s chances of ending the most recent winless streak (16 yrs) this weekend?

The Big A: The chances are good if Ferrari owns the front row.

The tight and narrow Monaco street course is thought of as a circuit where you have to qualify on the Pole to win the race. But this was not true for the 2 most recent winners, but all bar one 11 races prior to that were all won by the driver who qualified on the Pole.

That 11-year span includes 2 races where Mr. Schumacher could have started on the Pole but did not. He was sent to the back of the grid in Y 2006 after setting the fastest time during Q3 and stopping on the racing line in a bid to prevent other drivers from improving their time. Rival Fernando Alonso therefore took the Pole position and went on to victory.

Then 6 years later Mr. Schumacher was quickest in Q3 for the only time during his time at MercedesAMG. But a 5-place grid penalty for causing a collision with Bruno Senna at the previous race meant Mark Webber inherited the Pole, and won.

Had Mr. Schumacher started that race from the Pole it is likely MercedesAMG won have won the last 5 Monaco Grands Prix. Instead the Silver Arrow Team arrives in Monte-Carlo with 4 straight wins to their account including 3 in a row by Nico Rosberg plus Lewis Hamilton’s 2nd career win at here last year.

McLaren holds the record for the most consecutive wins at Monaco with a streak of 6 running, which started in Y 1988. Only Ayrton Senna’s Y 1987 win for Lotus kept McLaren from monopolizing the podium’s top step from Y’s 1984 to 1993.

McLaren will be without its  top driver Fernando Alonso this weekend, he chose to race in the Indianapolis 500 instead. He will start that race from 5th on the grid. Mr. Alonso will have now gone 3 years without completing a full F1 season, as he sat out the 2015 Australian and 2016 Bahrain Grands Prix due to injury.

Jenson Button will make a 1-off return. The 2009 Monaco Grand Prix winner will start his 306th race and tie with Mr. Schumacher as the driver with the 2nd-highest number of Grand Prix starts.

How Mr. Button will fare on his return surely will be a point of interest. His team mate Stoffel Vandoorne is yet to out-qualify Fernando Alonso so far this season.

Symbol Last Trade Date Change Open High Low Volume
NYSE: RACE 84.35 22 May 2017 0.13 83.46 84.42 83.44 398,700
HeffX-LTN Analysis for RACE: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Bullish (0.46) Very Bullish (0.50) Bullish (0.42) Bullish (0.46)

Stay tuned…

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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