FLASH: ECB will maintain current level of rates through the end of Y 2019 and launch new targeted longer-term refinancing operation (TLTRO-III) in September
European Central Bank presented a huge set of monetary policy initiatives Thursday that sent economists and analysts on Twitter spinning.
Below are some of their quick reactions as the EUR dove in reaction to cuts in ECB growth and inflation forecasts, as well as new cheap loans for banks.
- Allianz chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian called it an ECB flip-flop similar to the 1 seen by the Fed in January.
- Piet Christiansen, senior ECB analyst at Danske Bank, called it Dovish.
- Arkera FX and global macro strategist Viraj Patel agreed the tone was Dovish but said it is likely a 1-off adjustment and that the real losers are peripheral European currencies, like the Swedish krona.
- BlackRock portfolio manager Rupert Harrison called the decision a reality check for ECB President Mario Draghi.
- Nordea chief analyst Anders Svendsen wanted more from the ECB.
- His colleague at Nordea Markets, global FX strategist Andreas Steno Larsen, went against market sentiment and advised buying EUR on Thursday’s statement.
- Claus Vistesen, macroeconomist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, thinks today’s decision may hamstring Draghi’s successor.
- Nick Kounis, head of macro and financial markets research at ABN Amro, said this may not be the last Dovish message from ECB.
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