Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Watching the 1.15008/10 band Level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Watching the 1.15008/10 band Level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Watching the 1.15008/10 band Level

EUR/USD’s bounce off the November 2016 high at 1.1300 has further to run and targets the May and June lows at 1.1508/10.

Should a drop and daily chart close below the 1.1300/1.1296 November 2016 and mid-June 2017 highs be seen, however, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2017-18 rise at 1.1187 would be targeted.

On the topside the key level is 1.1790, the July peak, a recovery above which would target the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1855.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.17.

The projected upper bound is: 1.17.

The projected lower bound is: 1.13.

The projected closing price is: 1.15.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 96.7926. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 44.59. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 3. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 13 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX EUR= closed up 0.001 at 1.149. Volume was 98% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 36% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.148 1.149 1.148 1.149 2,513

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.14 1.16 1.20
Volatility: 9 9 8
Volume: 131,862 146,172 131,986

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX EUR= is currently 4.0% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 11 periods.

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