Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sees upward momentum falter

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sees upward momentum falter

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sees upward momentum falter

The price of EUR/USD has rallied from the lows of last week, but has failed to push higher.

As a result, we may see bearish momentum develop without a close above $1.1450. Further declines target the $1.13 level of support, which held in August and October. Below this the $1.1118 area comes into play.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.16.

The projected upper bound is: 1.15.

The projected lower bound is: 1.13.

The projected closing price is: 1.14.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 65.6052. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 44.77. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 58 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 4. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX EUR= closed up 0.001 at 1.141. Volume was 6% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 6% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.140 1.144 1.139 1.141 146,254

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.14 1.16 1.19
Volatility: 8 7 8
Volume: 140,873 133,378 138,999

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX EUR= is currently 3.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 24 periods. Our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not. This is a bullish divergence.

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