Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebound provides selling opportunity
EUR/USD as managed to rebound substantially following a sharp deterioration yesterday. That sell-off follows on from the inability to continue creating higher lows, after Friday’s drop below $1.1364. Given this recent trend of lower highs and lower lows, the rebound seen overnight looks like a good selling opportunity.
A break above $1.1414 would provide a warning signal that such a bearish move might not come to fruition, with a move above $1.1439 signalling the end of this recent trend.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways
The projected upper bound is: 1.16.
The projected lower bound is: 1.13.
The projected closing price is: 1.14.
A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 27.2294. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 21 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 55.65. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 95 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 99. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 29 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed up 0.008 at 1.143. Volume was 16% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 53% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.135 1.145 1.135 1.143 162,576
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.14 1.14 1.17
Volatility: 8 8 8
Volume: 138,485 146,281 140,975
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 2.1% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 15 periods.
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