Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pulls back from recent uptrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pulls back from recent uptrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pulls back from recent uptrend

EUR/USD fell below trendline support, with the pair moving into a crucial area of support that will determine the outlook for the week ahead. The pair needed to either break through $1.1746 for a more bullish outlook, or below trendline support to prove that we could be set for a more bearish phase.

Since we saw the latter, we would need to see a break below the first swing low of $1.1594 in order to prove that this is a bearish reversal/retracement. With the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) also featuring that level, the fact that we have seen the pair hold up at this point means we are waiting for a break or rebound to show the way forward over the near term.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1.18.

The projected lower bound is: 1.15.

The projected closing price is: 1.16.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 37.7732. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 52.30. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 36. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX EUR= closed up 0.002 at 1.162. Volume was 34% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 24% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.160 1.163 1.158 1.162 96,133

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.16 1.16 1.20
Volatility: 9 8 9
Volume: 137,994 144,278 133,767

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX EUR= is currently 2.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 4 periods.

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