Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) potentially running into resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) potentially running into resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) potentially running into resistance

The Euro rallied a bit during the early part of Monday but continues to see a lot of resistance just above. In fact, the 1.11 level is now going to offer a bit of resistance potentially, and if that’s going to be the case it’s likely that the market participants are looking to sell the Euro again.

The Euro initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday, but then rolled over significantly. At this point it looks as if the 1.11 level continues to be a major issue, as it is a large, round, psychologically significant figure.

Also, on the chart you can see that the 50% Fibonacci retracement level has offered significant resistance at the circle. The 200-day EMA sits just above that area, and therefore it makes sense that we continue to see an overall negative attitude in this market, as we see plenty of concerns around the European Union.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1.12.

The projected lower bound is: 1.10.

The projected closing price is: 1.11.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 21.7241. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 56.36. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 40 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 20. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 17 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX EUR= closed up 0.000 at 1.110. Volume was 99% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 26% wider than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
1.110 1.110 1.110 1.110 976
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 1.11 1.10 1.12
Volatility: 5 6 6
Volume: 66,796 75,498 101,753

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX EUR= is currently 0.9% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 12 periods.

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