Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) momentum indicators backing up bearish sell-off
The Euro-to-Dollar rate keeps grinding lower and rallies in the Euro provide a good opportunity for traders to buy the U.S. currency at a relatively cheap price before it appreciates further, shows research by Richard Perry, a market analyst at Hantec Markets.
Analysing the EUR/USD pair, Perry notes that it is “still in a rolling-over phase once more,” as it rises and falls in its gently descending bearish channel.
Most recently the pair looked like it might be basing but then the market “got pulled from the bottom of the trend channel to the top,” before rolling over after touching 1.1100. Since then it has plunged even deeper on negative economic data from the Eurozone.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1.11.
The projected lower bound is: 1.09.
The projected closing price is: 1.10.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 19 white candles and 30 black candles for a net of 11 black candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 40.1812. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 15 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 45.15. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 16 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -60. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed down -0.000 at 1.102. Volume was 98% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 43% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.102 1.102 1.101 1.102 1,209
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.10 1.11 1.12
Volatility: 7 6 6
Volume: 66,115 80,801 108,599
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 2.0% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 56 periods.