Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds critical support
EUR/USD remains at the crucial area of support around $1.1554, which held back in late August. While it dipped below this yesterday, the rebound saw it finish around the same level.
A rally targets $1.18, where gains faltered in July and in September. A close below $1.1554 is needed to open the way to fresh downside.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.16.
The projected upper bound is: 1.16.
The projected lower bound is: 1.13.
The projected closing price is: 1.15.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 1 white candles and 8 black candles for a net of 7 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 1 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 8.7744. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 25 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 35.95. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 35 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -150.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed unchanged at 1.148. Volume was 98% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 14% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.148 1.149 1.146 1.148 3,272
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.16 1.16 1.19
Volatility: 5 8 9
Volume: 120,593 134,381 136,329
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 3.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.
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