Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) falls into Fibonacci support
EUR/USD has dropped into the 76.4% retracement amid a sell-off that has brought us back into a crucial area of support. The wider trend highlights the creation of higher highs and higher lows, thus pointing towards a possible bullish reversal in the near future.
With an ascending trendline further down, there is a chance we could see another leg lower to bring that support line into play. However, until we break below $1.1301, there is a good chance that the bulls will soon return for EUR/USD. Watch for a break through the most recent swing high as a bullish confirmation signal (currently $1.1410).
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.15.
The projected upper bound is: 1.15.
The projected lower bound is: 1.12.
The projected closing price is: 1.14.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 29 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 8 white candles.
A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 12.9671. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 45.66. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 112 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -77. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed up 0.001 at 1.137. Volume was 9% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 12% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.137 1.141 1.135 1.137 127,128
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.14 1.14 1.16
Volatility: 7 8 8
Volume: 151,086 143,411 141,287
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 1.9% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 32 periods.