Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) broke above a bearish trend-line
Going along with that USD sell-off this week has been a bullish theme in EURUSD. That bullish theme has shown up despite the brewing risks around the Euro-Zone and the continued pace of dovishness at the ECB. But – those items aren’t necessarily new, whereas this re-pricing of US rate expectations is; keeping the door open for an extension of further gains in EURUSD.
EURUSD broke above a bearish trend-line this morning and is currently sitting at fresh two-month-highs. So, this may not be the most operable area to chase the pair-higher at the moment. But, a pullback to support, with respect of the pre-NFP swing-low around 1.1250 keeps the door open for further topside in the pair. This can expose a run up towards the prior zone of range resistance that runs from 1.1448-1.1500.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 1.14.
The projected lower bound is: 1.12.
The projected closing price is: 1.13.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 75.9651. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 66.48. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 211 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 171.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed up 0.006 at 1.133. Volume was 40% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 6% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.127 1.135 1.125 1.133 75,236
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.12 1.12 1.14
Volatility: 7 5 7
Volume: 96,186 108,450 133,377
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 0.3% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods.