Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bounce falters
EUR/USD has plumbed to a new low, continuing its extended downtrend and heading towards possible support at $1.111.
A rally will target $1.13, previous key support, while above this the November high at $1.15 comes into play. Having rallied from oversold intraday conditions, it will be important to watch the $1.126 area. A failure to break above this would suggest a lower high and bring more selling pressure into the picture.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.15.
The projected upper bound is: 1.14.
The projected lower bound is: 1.11.
The projected closing price is: 1.13.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 20 white candles and 30 black candles for a net of 10 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 19.0596. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 38.36. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 64 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -102.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed down -0.000 at 1.129. Volume was 98% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 11% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.129 1.129 1.128 1.129 2,152
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.14 1.15 1.18
Volatility: 10 8 8
Volume: 133,698 133,178 138,158
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 4.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume out of EUR= (mildly bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 30 periods.
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