Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) August private sector PMI numbers due out today
For the EUR, stats through the week include August private sector PMI numbers due out on Monday and Wednesday, July retail sales figures out of the Eurozone on Wednesday, Germany factory orders on Thursday, with finalized 2nd quarter GDP numbers out of the Eurozone and German trade and industrial production figures on Friday. Focus will likely be on the stats out of Germany, barring material deviation from prelim private sector and GDP numbers. The EUR/USD ended the week down 0.17% to $1.1602.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 1.18.
The projected lower bound is: 1.14.
The projected closing price is: 1.16.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 59.7846. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 50.81. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 11 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 51. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 8 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed down -0.007 at 1.160. Volume was 3% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 23% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.167 1.169 1.158 1.160 150,501
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.16 1.16 1.20
Volatility: 9 8 9
Volume: 139,841 145,438 133,864
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 3.0% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods.
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