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Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) Reclaims Position Above $200 After Finding Strong Support at $185


Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) Reclaims Position Above $200 After Finding Strong Support at $185

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading up over 2% at its current price of $200.85, which marks a significant increase from its recent lows of $180 that were set at the time when Bitcoin faced a sharp sell-off that sent it reeling to lows of $9,500.

After tapping $180 last Wednesday, however, ETH was able to swiftly recover to $185, which persisted as a strong level of support until yesterday, which is when the crypto began incurring some upwards momentum that has led it towards its current price levels.

Will ETH Continue Climbing Higher in Week Ahead?

Ethereum’s ability to surge to $200 today may be emblematic of improving technical conditions for the cryptocurrency, as Jacob Canfield – a popular crypto analyst on Twitter – explained in a recent tweet that it marked an upwards break of a downwards trend line on a short time frame.

“A lot of people are asking me about ETHBTC. #ETH / #Ethereum / $ETH Daily – Broke downtrend resistance yesterday. Hasn’t made a higher high. Below. Key S/R level at .025 that needs to be reclaimed. Weekly – Very narrow range back to 2016 levels that needs to hold,” he explained while referring to the below charts.

Although in the short-term it does seem as though ETH may incur some further bullishness, it is important to note that its mid and long-term price action does appear to remain somewhat bearish, and a failure to follow through and extend today’s upwards momentum could lead to further losses.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 224.42.

The projected upper bound is: 226.04.

The projected lower bound is: 168.68.

The projected closing price is: 197.36.


A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 19 white candles and 31 black candles for a net of 12 black candles.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 74.0010. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 42.36. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -13. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX ETH= closed up 0.710 at 199.150. Volume was 70% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 22% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
198.770 203.880 196.850 199.150 20,377
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 197.21 231.17 196.67
Volatility: 78 78 86
Volume: 52,952 66,547 58,141

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX ETH= is currently 1.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of ETH= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on ETH= and have had this outlook for the last 2 periods.

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S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Economist at Knightsbridge holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Crypto, Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.