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Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) price is currently trading in a bearish zone and it even tested the $215 support area


Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) price is currently trading in a bearish zone and it even tested the $215 support area

In the past two days, ETH price faced an increase in selling interest from $230 against the US Dollar. There was a steady decline below the $225 support level. Moreover, Ethereum price even broke the key $222 support level and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average. On the other hand, bitcoin price mostly traded with a positive bias, but it seems to be struggling near the $12,000 resistance.

The recent decline in Ether’s price was such that the price even broke the $220 support. A new weekly swing low was formed near $214 and the price is currently correcting higher. It traded above the $218 level plus the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $226 high to $214 swing low. However, the upward move was capped by the previous support at $220.

Moreover, Ethereum price failed to surpass the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $226 high to $214 swing low. More importantly, there is a major declining channel forming with resistance near $221 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Therefore, the pair is facing a strong resistance near the $220, $221 and $222 levels. To start a fresh increase, the price has to surpass the $222 resistance.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

The projected upper bound is: 255.79.

The projected lower bound is: 177.21.

The projected closing price is: 216.50.


A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 26.8074. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 42.82. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 23 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 6. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 11 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX ETH= closed down -1.050 at 217.600. Volume was 78% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 70% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
218.650 222.700 215.080 217.600 15,988
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 221.24 254.44 191.93
Volatility: 44 92 86
Volume: 53,720 71,756 57,126

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX ETH= is currently 13.4% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of ETH= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on ETH= and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.

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