Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) Price In Corrective Decrease But Likely To Bounce Back
After forming a short term top near $186, ETH price started a downside correction against the US Dollar. It broke the $180 support level and the 100 hourly simple moving average to enter a negative zone. Moreover, the recent decline in bitcoin pushed Ethereum below the $178 level. The decline was such that the price tested the $175 support level and it is currently consolidating losses.
It corrected above the $176 level plus 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $186 high to $175 swing low. However, the previous support area near the $180 level is acting as a resistance. Besides, the 100 hourly SMA is also preventing gains near $179. More importantly, yesterday’s highlighted key bearish trend line is still active with resistance near $179 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.
Above the trend line, the next key resistance is near the $180 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $186 high to $175 swing low. If there is an upside break above the trend line, the 100 hourly SMA, and $180, then the price could start a fresh increase. The next key resistance area is near the $185 level, above which the price could accelerate higher.
On the downside, there is a decent support forming near the $175 level. However, it seems like there could be a downside spike before the price starts a fresh increase above the $180 level.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 194.57.
The projected lower bound is: 157.91.
The projected closing price is: 176.24.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 18 white candles and 32 black candles for a net of 14 black candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 48.7991. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 43.43. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 11 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 39. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 11 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX ETH= closed up 0.050 at 177.000. Volume was 68% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 60% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
177.290 179.520 175.800 177.000 21,783
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 176.92 195.34 202.94
Volatility: 44 60 85
Volume: 63,680 61,024 60,246
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX ETH= is currently 12.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of ETH= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on ETH= and have had this outlook for the last 20 periods.
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