Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) price extended gains above the $215 resistance area
Yesterday, we saw a solid upward move in ETH price above the $200 resistance against the US Dollar. The price even broke the $210 level and settled well above the 100 hourly simple moving average. As a result, the price extended gains above the $215 level and posted a new monthly high near $218. On the other hand, bitcoin price remained in a bearish zone and settled below the $10,200 level.
At the moment, Ethereum is correcting gains below the $212 support area. Additionally, there was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $188 low to $218 high. More importantly, there was a break below yesterday’s highlighted bullish trend line with support near $211 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. It opened the doors for more downsides and the price is now trading below $210.
An immediate support on the downside is near the $204 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $188 low to $218 high. However, the main support is near the $200 level and the 100 hourly SMA. Moreover, the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $188 low to $218 high is also near the $200 area.
Therefore, the price is likely to find support if it corrects lower towards the $204 or $200 levels. On the upside, there is a short term resistance forming near the $210 level and a connecting bearish trend line on the same chart. If there is an upside break above $210, the price could resume its upward move in the near term.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
The projected upper bound is: 223.89.
The projected lower bound is: 184.71.
The projected closing price is: 204.30.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 20 white candles and 30 black candles for a net of 10 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 80.3284. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 14 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 61.24. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 121.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 16 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX ETH= closed down -6.520 at 204.520. Volume was 57% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 20% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
211.590 213.630 201.250 204.520 29,580
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 192.09 193.35 205.16
Volatility: 58 64 85
Volume: 66,668 62,822 61,389
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX ETH= is currently 0.3% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of ETH= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on ETH= and have had this outlook for the last 6 periods.
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