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Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) currently consolidating gains and it might soon attempt to climb above the $200 resistance

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Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) currently consolidating gains and it might soon attempt to climb above the $200 resistance

Yesterday, we saw a nice upward move in ETH price above the $185 resistance against the US Dollar. Moreover, we discussed the chances of more upsides and a test of the $200 level. The price did climb higher, broke the $195 swing high, and recently traded close to the $200 level. On the other hand, bitcoin remained in a bearish zone and declined below the $10,300 and $10,250 support levels.

Ethereum price formed a new monthly high near $200 and it is currently consolidating gains. An immediate support is near the $197 level. It coincides with the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last leg from the $189 swing low to $200 high. If there is an extended downside correction, the price could test the $195 support area. Additionally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last leg from the $189 swing low to $200 high is also near the $195 level.

More importantly, yesterday’s highlighted major bullish trend line is active with support near $193 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The main support for Ethereum is near the $185 level (the previous resistance). Therefore, dips remain well supported in the near term towards $195 and $193. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $200 handle.

If the price breaks the $200 level, there are high chances of it surpassing the $205 resistance level. The next key resistance is near the $210 level, above which the price could surge towards the $220-$225 zone.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

The projected upper bound is: 215.51.

The projected lower bound is: 178.13.

The projected closing price is: 196.82.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 20 white candles and 30 black candles for a net of 10 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 88.5924. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 12 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 60.01. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 16 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 180.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 16 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 14 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX ETH= closed down -1.980 at 197.110. Volume was 56% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 46% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
200.000 200.530 195.390 197.110 30,054
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 184.93 193.22 204.37
Volatility: 42 62 84
Volume: 63,428 61,353 60,817

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX ETH= is currently 3.6% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of ETH= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on ETH= and have had this outlook for the last 4 periods.

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