Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) earnings season winds down
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and its counterpart in that of the S&P 500 will take their cues largely from non-scheduled data next week. As earnings season winds down, sentiment and price action will turn once again to the larger overarching themes that equities have faced for months.
Trade wars remain the paramount concern with US and Chinese officials scheduled to meet in Beijing on Thursday and Friday. The talks are critically important for progress as the 90-day deadline approaches expiration on March 1st. Further, President Donald Trump confirmed a report that he will not meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping before the deadline. The lack of a face-to-face meeting between the two Presidents places increased pressure on trade officials from both sides.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 24,582.43.
The projected upper bound is: 26,160.78.
The projected lower bound is: 24,070.52.
The projected closing price is: 25,115.65.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 8 white candles and 2 black candles for a net of 6 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 32 white candles and 18 black candles for a net of 14 white candles.
A long lower shadow occurred. This is typically a bullish signal (particularly when it occurs near a low price level, at a support level, or when the security is oversold).
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 59.6760. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 60.18. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 30 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 33. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 26 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
DJ INDU AVERG closed down -63.199 at 25,106.330. Volume was 32% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 21% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 25,050.37 24,239.85 25,004.84
Volatility: 14 28 20
Volume: 335,526,016 370,421,280 326,480,448
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
DJ INDU AVERG is currently 0.4% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume into .DJI (mildly bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on .DJI and have had this outlook for the last 19 periods.
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