Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) a failure to break out to new highs would be viewed as negative

Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) a failure to break out to new highs would be viewed as negative

Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) a failure to break out to new highs would be viewed as negative

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down 14.17 points at 26,048.51, erasing a gain of 185.99 points. The S&P 500 slipped less than 0.1% to 2,885.72 while the Nasdaq Composite finished just below breakeven at 7,822.57. The industrials sector was the biggest laggard in the S&P 500, dropping 0.9% as Raytheon shares declined by 5.1%.

The Dow also snapped a six-day winning streak. However, the S&P 500 remained around 2.4% below an intraday record.

“At this point, a failure to break out to new highs would be viewed as negative. The month is only a week and a half old, but we’ve got a head of steam now. We’re seeing evidence of more individual stocks in the S&P 500 making new highs. There’s a bit of an expectations the S&P 500 might be able to test those levels we saw in April,” said Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at Baird.

“The potential headwind to that is what happens with sentiment. Sentiment turned so negative in May and now, as stock rebound in June, we’re seeing pessimism being replaced with optimism. If it comes in too fast, that can shift from being a tailwind for stocks to a headwind,” Delwiche said.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

The projected upper bound is: 26,645.13.

The projected lower bound is: 25,456.69.

The projected closing price is: 26,050.91.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 87.5706. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 57.60. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 124.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

DJ INDU AVERG closed down -14.170 at 26,048.510. Volume was 13% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 16% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
26,180.59026,248.67025,998.86926,048.510 253,486,768

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 25,461.87 26,006.52 25,430.65
Volatility: 18 15 20
Volume: 269,283,008 282,101,632 319,500,576

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

DJ INDU AVERG is currently 2.4% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .DJI at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .DJI and have had this outlook for the last 23 periods.

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