DAX PERFORMANCE-INDEX (.GDAXI) recovery enters a new week
A brief sojourn below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of 11,651 was followed up by a bounce for the DAX.
However, gains stalled in the second half of the week, below 11,900, but higher lows have been established over the previous few sessions. Trendline support from the August low would come in around 11,700 so a move below this and then back down below the 200-day SMA would revive the bearish view. Above 11,900 the price heads towards 12,050, trendline resistance from the late-July peak.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 12,084.98.
The projected upper bound is: 12,019.45.
The projected lower bound is: 11,338.02.
The projected closing price is: 11,678.74.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 49.6472. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 35.86. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -70. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 23 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
XETRA DAX PF closed down -14.120 at 11,679.680. Volume was 17% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 83% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 11,855.74 12,213.97 11,645.02
Volatility: 27 18 19
Volume: 105,499,384 91,981,560 92,811,408
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
XETRA DAX PF is currently 0.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .GDAXI at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .GDAXI and have had this outlook for the last 11 periods.
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