DAX PERFORMANCE-INDEX (.GDAXI) rebounds after recent decline
The DAX has finally managed to find some buyers following a sharp decline throughout the past two-weeks.
That took the index below the crucial 11,598 support level, pointing towards further downside to come. However, for the time being, we are in retracement mode, which could be substantial given the recent declines. As such, further upside looks likely for the short-term. The previous decline below 11,598 points towards this rebound being a likely retracement before we turn lower once again.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 12,144.39.
The projected upper bound is: 11,898.48.
The projected lower bound is: 11,217.31.
The projected closing price is: 11,557.90.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 3.1264. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a buy 15 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 27.40. This is where it usually bottoms. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 65 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -192.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 19 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
XETRA DAX PF closed down -90.550 at 11,567.960. Volume was 3% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 52% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 12,141.07 12,226.47 11,640.38
Volatility: 24 18 19
Volume: 100,712,656 91,090,376 92,934,600
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
XETRA DAX PF is currently 0.6% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .GDAXI at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .GDAXI and have had this outlook for the last 7 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that .GDAXI is currently in an oversold condition.
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