Gold in Rally Mode, Investment Strategy

Gold in Rally Mode, Investment Strategy

$XAU, $GLD, $GOLD, $NEM, $USD FLASH: The prospects of the Fed cutting interest rates to near Zero this year has gold rallying to 6 year highs. Institutional investors like gold as a hedge against uncertain times, as gold has held value over centuries. The Big Q1: But does it make sense for individual investors? Here […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Steady, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: Friday is options expiry in the US, volatile: maybe, maybe not. The Buck steadied Friday, but was still on the defensive after Federal Reserve officials bolstered expectations of an aggressive rate cut this month to address weakening price […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) UK retail sales data revealed that sales unexpectedly rose

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) UK retail sales data revealed that sales unexpectedly rose

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) UK retail sales data revealed that sales unexpectedly rose Year-on-year sales jumped from May’s downwardly revised 2.2 per cent to 3.8 per cent, and excluding fuel annual sales rose by 3.6 percent. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) stated: “All four main sectors contributed positively to the amount spend, and all sectors except […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Tightens Ahead Of The Weekend Break

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Tightens Ahead Of The Weekend Break

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Tightens Ahead Of The Weekend Break The theme of the week has been “consolidation” on the forex. For the most part, the majors have traded within last week’s FED-fueled ranges, with the EUR/USD being among the most hotly contested. Since the bearish break of Tuesday, rates have rotated between 1.1250 and 1.1201, […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) plenty of reasons to rally

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) plenty of reasons to rally

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) plenty of reasons to rally The US dollar has pulled back against the Japanese yen during the trading session on Thursday but has found enough support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level to turn the market back around and show signs of life. At this point, the market looks as if we are […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces significant resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces significant resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces significant resistance The Australian dollar rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday but still faces significant resistance just above. With that being the case it looks as if we are about to take on a serious level in the market that could change things going forward. The Australian […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Wednesday said the dollar was overvalued by 6% to 12%, based on near-term economic fundamentals. With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched […]

IMF: USD Overvalued

IMF: USD Overvalued

$USD, $EUR, $JPY, $CNY International Monetary Fund (IMF) said Wednesday the USD is overvalued by 6% to 12%, based on near-term economic fundamentals, while the EUR, the JPY, and China’s RMB Yuan were seen as broadly in line with fundamentals. The IMF has been at odds with President Trump over his use of tariffs to […]

Survivor Guide “Buy Gold on Paradigm Shift in Global Markets”

Survivor Guide “Buy Gold on Paradigm Shift in Global Markets”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Billionaire Investment Guru, Ray Dalio thinks the current era of low interest rates and QE may be coming to an end, and his answer to a new market paradigm that could see escalating conflict between capitalists and socialists is simple, Buy Gold. “I believe that it would be […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) General Election adds to uncertainty

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) General Election adds to uncertainty

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) General Election adds to uncertainty Pound Sterling remains under pressure in mid-week trade with foreign exchange markets digesting the latest political headlines that suggest a General Election is being considered by Boris Johnson. Johnson remains favourite to replace Prime Minister Theresa May new Tuesday when the result of the Conservative Party […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back to 1.1212 support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back to 1.1212 support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back to 1.1212 support In contrast to the breakdown in GBP/USD looked at above, EUR/USD has seen a more moderate pullback to a prior zone of support. This is the same zone that’s been in-play as both support and resistance since coming back into the equation in November of last year. More recently, […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) turns negative after being unable to break 108.30

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) turns negative after being unable to break 108.30

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) turns negative after being unable to break 108.30 The USD/JPY pair dropped below Asian session lows and fell to 108.04. As of writing it was trading at 108.05/10 with the negative tone intact. Earlier today, the pair was unable to break above the 108.30 area that became a strong resistance.  The […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched out arguments Tuesday on how deep the cut should be, even as a 3rd said she needs more data before […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) feeling pressure from dovish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes of it July monetary policy meeting

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) feeling pressure from dovish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes of it July monetary policy meeting

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) feeling pressure from dovish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes of it July monetary policy meeting The Minutes released earlier today from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last meeting on interest rates on July 2 said the central bank will cut interest rates again, “if needed.” “Lower interest rates would provide more […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) under pressure

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) under pressure

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) under pressure GBP/USD is challenging the 1.2400 figure after the speech of Fed’s Chair Powell. There was no significant reaction in the currency market as Powell essentially didn’t bring anything new to the table. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards […]

Gold Dipped on Mixed Economic Data

Gold Dipped on Mixed Economic Data

$GLD, $XAU, $USD Gold prices turned lower Tuesday after a strong retail sales reading sparked buying interest in the USD and pushed Treasury yields higher. Retail sales gained 0.4% in June, outpacing consensus forecasts for a meager 0.1% advance, the positive reading pushed the .DXY and bond yields higher. The USD-denominated precious Yellow metal reacts negatively […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Unch, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Mixed Notes: Most Asian stock markets rose Monday, but gains were limited as investors awaited US retail sales data and corporate earnings to gauge the health of the world’s biggest economy ahead of a likely US rate cut later […]

Gold’s Price: The Bulls Vs The Bears

Gold’s Price: The Bulls Vs The Bears

$GLD, $XAU Gold’s market remains inside its 11 July range for a 2nd session, which suggests investor indecision and impending volatility. The lack of movement in the USD and Treasury yields is helping to contribute to the tight trading range. Tuesday, August COMEX gold is trading at: 1,416.50, +3.00 (+0.21%), as of 1:37a EDT, the market […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Mixed, USD Firm, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: China’s economic growth slowed to 6.2% in Q-2, its weakest pace in 27 years, as demand at home and abroad faltered in the face of mounting US trade pressure. EU foreign ministers will seek to figure out how […]

Gold: What I See and What is Ahead

Gold: What I See and What is Ahead

$GLD, $XAU A strong 6-week rally in gold stocks and related ETF SPDR Gold Trust(NYSEARCA:GLD) hit a wall 3 weeks ago, but reversed. Because the Fed is happy with where interest rates are now, and the strong June jobs report has dampened inflation worries for now, signaling interest rates will be cut. Before concluding that […]

Gold is in a New Bull Market

Gold is in a New Bull Market

$GLD, $XAU, $USD The price of gold has gained 10% to $1412.35 YTD, and my work projects the precious Yellow metal will move much higher from current marks as it enters this new Bull market. The fundamentals and technicals are aligned for gold to maintain its upward trend in the months ahead. Gold stocks are […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: Friday, China will release trade data for June, with analysts expecting exports to have fallen as weakening global demand and a sharp hike in US tariffs took a heavier toll on the world’s largest trading nation. OPEC Thursday […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Risk Aviation Causing Losses

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Risk Aviation Causing Losses

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Risk Aviation Causing Losses Strong signs from the US central bank of a near US interest rate cut contributed to stronger losses for the US dollar against other major currencies. The USD / JPY pair fell back to the support level 107.85 at the time of writing, after its recent gains, which lasted […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises as Fed’s Dovish Signals Continue

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises as Fed’s Dovish Signals Continue

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises as Fed’s Dovish Signals Continue Another month of sharp decline in Australian investment lending was not enough to prevent the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate recovering ground this morning. Even though lending saw a -1.7% contraction in May, defying forecasts of modest 0.5% growth, the Australian Dollar […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Consolidates Gains Following Dovish Powell Remarks

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Consolidates Gains Following Dovish Powell Remarks

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Consolidates Gains Following Dovish Powell Remarks The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate remains on the front foot this morning as the ‘Greenback’ continues to grapple with renewed expectations of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve this month. At the time of writing EUR/USD exchange rate is trading just shy […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) Bank of England to cut interest rates in November

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) Bank of England to cut interest rates in November

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) Bank of England to cut interest rates in November Pound Sterling put in some gains against the Euro and Dollar on Thursday, July 11 with the currency exploiting a weaker Dollar and Euro, however we maintain a view that the currency will continue to struggle amidst ongoing political uncertainty and growing […]

 Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

 Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Tensions have been high in the Middle East after attacks on tankers and the downing of a US drone by Iran last month, following President Trump’s withdrawal from a multi-party agreement with Tehran to end its nuclear program. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trading higher after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank will “act as appropriate” to sustain expansion as “crosscurrents”

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trading higher after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank will “act as appropriate” to sustain expansion as “crosscurrents”

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trading higher after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank will “act as appropriate” to sustain expansion as “crosscurrents” The Euro is trading higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank will “act as appropriate” to sustain expansion as “crosscurrents” are weighing on the economic […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) break below 1.25 drives broader Sterling weakness

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) break below 1.25 drives broader Sterling weakness

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) break below 1.25 drives broader Sterling weakness The British Pound has come under more concerted selling pressure over the past 24 hours with a fall below $1.25 against the U.S. Dollar looking to be a catalyst to the broader sell off in the wider Sterling exchange rate complex. The $1.25 level […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lack of progress in the US-China trade talks seemed to cap attempted recovery

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lack of progress in the US-China trade talks seemed to cap attempted recovery

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lack of progress in the US-China trade talks seemed to cap attempted recovery The AUD/USD pair quickly reversed an early European session dip to fresh 2-1/2 week lows and is currently placed at the top end of its daily trading range, around the 0.6925-30 region. The pair stalled its recent downward […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) struggling to extend the momentum beyond the 109.00 handle

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) struggling to extend the momentum beyond the 109.00 handle

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) struggling to extend the momentum beyond the 109.00 handle The USD/JPY pair refreshed multi-week tops during the Asian session on Wednesday, albeit struggled to extend the momentum beyond the 109.00 handle. Following last week’s upbeat headline NFP print for June, diminishing odds for a 50bps point rate cut by the Fed […]

Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Up, Rally Down, Wild Market Volatility is the Norm

Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Up, Rally Down, Wild Market Volatility is the Norm

$BTC, $BTCUSD FLASH: Bitcoin (BTC) Not a Game for Casual Players Financial markets experts agree that fast run-up in prices is a bubble. And the Big Q is always when/not if, its price will crash, and the effect of a crash?  The Financial Stability Oversight Commission recently came out with a report listing challenges to financial stability, […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Down, USD Flat Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: OPEC and allied producers led by Russia agreed last week to extend their supply-cutting deal until March 2020. Brent has risen nearly 20% in Y 2019, supported by the pact and tensions in the Middle East, especially the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) showing a far different tonality so far in July/Q3

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) showing a far different tonality so far in July/Q3

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) showing a far different tonality so far in July/Q3 The Q3 open has so far seen a return of sellers in EUR/USD, following a month of June that saw bears get squeezed as US Dollar weakness had showed up. Behind that USD weakness was a seemingly dovish outlay at the Federal Reserve in which […]

CBA eyes Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation above key level this week

CBA eyes Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation above key level this week

CBA eyes Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation above key level this week The Australian Dollar was on the defensive at the beginning of the new week but is tipped by analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) to prevail in its ongoing scrap for a key level over the coming days.  Australia’s Dollar ceded ground to a […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) is the Weakest Currency in July Thus Far

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) is the Weakest Currency in July Thus Far

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) is the Weakest Currency in July Thus Far Support at the psychological 1.2500 handle failed to hold GBP/USD higher in the early week as the pair was last seen trading at 1.2464. Much of the decline is attributed to a stronger dollar, although Sterling weakness has also been a significant factor. For the […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Down, USD Flat Crude Oil Off, Stocks Lower Notes: BoE Governor Mark Carney has said a global trade war and a no-deal BREXIT were growing risks to Britain’s economy, which might need more help to cope with a downturn. That prompted investors to increase their bets on […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) 1.25 level will attract a lot of attention

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) 1.25 level will attract a lot of attention

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) 1.25 level will attract a lot of attention The Euro went back and forth early on Monday, essentially deciding nothing. However, that is something worth paying attention to as we are hovering around the vital 1.25 level. This large, round, psychologically significant figure could be crucial in determining where we go next. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies in the early week will continue to be met with sellers

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies in the early week will continue to be met with sellers

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies in the early week will continue to be met with sellers Friday’s jobs report sent a message to the markets that the Fed is not in a hurry to ease monetary policy. Much of the rally in EUR/USD in June was predicated on the speculation that the Fed was sure to cut rates […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) market should continue to try to break out to the upside

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) market should continue to try to break out to the upside

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) market should continue to try to break out to the upside The US dollar has rallied again during early trading on Monday, reaching towards the ¥108.50 level. At this point, the market looks as if it is trying to reach towards the 50 day EMA above, and if we can break above […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Flat, Stocks Lower Notes: White House Economic advisor Larry Kudlow has confirmed top representatives from the United States and China will meet in the coming week to continue trade talks. Iran said Sunday it will shortly boost its uranium enrichment above a cap set by a landmark Y 2015 nuclear […]

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

$XAU, $GLD, $USD The once-fringe fantasy of a return to the gold standard is creeping back into the mainstream. It has long been dismissed as a fool’s errand, on par with abandoning the Federal Reserve and other trappings of the modern economy. Mainstream economists deride it almost without exception. Reintroducing the gold standard would “be a disaster […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors eye central banks

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors eye central banks

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors eye central banks The Japanese Tankan indices were mixed. The manufacturing indicator slipped to 7, missing the estimate of 9 points. The services sector has been much stronger, and the index climbed to 23, beating the forecast of 21 points. Housing spending sparkled, with a gain of 4.0%. This was […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) further downside potential

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) further downside potential

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) further downside potential The Pound recorded its ninth consecutive weekly loss against the Euro ahead of the weekend, and it recorded its lowest weekly close against the U.S. Dollar since April 2017. The weakness extends to the majority of major currencies, as a multi-week sell-off extended amidst a combination of political […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) dips as RBA strikes again

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) dips as RBA strikes again

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) dips as RBA strikes again The RBA lowered interest rates for a second straight month, the first back-to-back cuts since 2012. The benchmark rate currently stands at an even 1.0%, a historical low. In follow-up comments, RBA Governor Lowe said that the economic outlook “remains reasonable”, but investors will no doubt […]

“Gold is Money, Everything Else is Credit”

“Gold is Money, Everything Else is Credit”

$XAU, $XAG, $GLD, $USD The economist John Maynard Keynes called gold a “barbarous relic”, suggesting that its usefulness as money is an artifact of the past. In an era filled with cashless transactions and hundreds of cryptocurrencies, this statement seems truer today than in Keynes’ time. But, gold also possesses elemental properties that has made […]

Every Portfolio Needs at Least 10% of Gold

Every Portfolio Needs at Least 10% of Gold

$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $EUR Shayne and I see gold testing to $1384ish and then setting up to drive North, potentially topping $1,500 oz, as interest rates head lower, central banks extend purchases, and uncertainty surrounding geopolitics and cryptocurrencies fans demand. Gold on the COMEX finished -1.4% to $1400.95 oz. “I love gold,” said Mark Mobius, […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

FLASH: Gold Up, USD Firm, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Notes: The market’s focus is Friday’s US NFPs for June, which economists expect to have risen by 160,000 in June, compared with 75,000 in May. USD firm on Friday but traders held off on making big bets ahead of the closely-watched US NFPs report that could influence […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market fails to continue going higher without some type of catalyst

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market fails to continue going higher without some type of catalyst

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market fails to continue going higher without some type of catalyst The Australian dollar has gone back and forth during the trading session on Thursday as Americans were away for Independence Day celebrations. That being said, we are at significant resistance so it’s not a huge surprise to see the market fail […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) continued weakness suggests that we could go much lower

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) continued weakness suggests that we could go much lower

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) continued weakness suggests that we could go much lower Yesterday, I have the perception that perhaps we could find enough support to cause this market to bounce. While that hasn’t necessarily been eliminated, the Thursday candle doesn’t exactly instill a lot of confidence. The fact that we rallied and then gave […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trading sideways below the 1.1320 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trading sideways below the 1.1320 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trading sideways below the 1.1320 resistance The current bounce in the dollar was triggered by news over the weekend that trade talks between China and the US are progressing. This caused a correlated move across the financial markets. Treasury yields bounced higher with the 10-year rallying from a psychological 2% yield. Gold […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) stuck below trendline resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) stuck below trendline resistance The price of USD/JPY rallied off the lows yesterday, but for now remains below downtrend resistance from the April highs. A move above ¥108.00 would reinforce the emerging bullish picture, and perhaps suggest that a higher low is in play. This would be reversed if the price moves back […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

All US financial markets are closed Thursday for Independence Day FLASH: Gold Down, USD Flat, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Notes: Top representatives of the United States and China are organizing a resumption of talks for next week to try to resolve a year-long trade dispute between the world’s 2 largest economies, Trump Administration officials said Wednesday […]

Gold (XAU) Seen Ready for More Gains

Gold (XAU) Seen Ready for More Gains

$XAU, $XAG, $GLD, $SLV, $USD Gold tested the at 1,440 again Wednesday as investors are digesting central banks related banks in Europe and the United States. Investors are waiting for Friday US NFPs report. The ECB is looking for a replacement of its President Mario Draghi, with IMF chief Christine Lagarde as a firm candidate […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes down from resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes down from resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes down from resistance Also on the side of USD-weakness, USDJPY has pushed-lower from a key zone of resistance while filling this week’s opening gap. This keeps the door open for further bearish potential in the pair. Prices are finding a bit of short-term support at the 107.50 level that was looked at […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range The AUD/USD pair finally broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range and spiked to fresh session tops, around the 0.7015 region in the last hour. The pair built on the previous session’s post-RBA bounce from 50-day SMA support and continued […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) reaching towards the 1.2550 level

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) reaching towards the 1.2550 level

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) reaching towards the 1.2550 level The British pound fell significantly during the trading session on Wednesday, reaching towards the 1.2550 level. That’s an area that should continue to be of interest as we had recently bounced from just below. Obviously, the 1.25 level underneath will probably cause significant support due to the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) has weakened and fallen to key level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) has weakened and fallen to key level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) has weakened and fallen to key level The weakening of the Euro after the G20 Summit, and subsequent announcement of Christine Lagarde as the next President of the European Central Bank (ECB), is unlikely to extend suggest the charts. The Euro fell after the G20 as improved investor sentiment reduced safe-haven flows, a dynamic […]

So Goes President Trump, So Goes the Market

So Goes President Trump, So Goes the Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX FLASH: President Trump is focused on the Fed, calling for lower interest rates and a lower USD Donald J. Trump is the biggest driver of financial markets in the world, and I write about him daily in this column. Savvy participants are making money off by anticipating his moves, which are […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY Wednesday, the US financial markets are shortened, and all US financial markets are closed Thursday for Independence Day FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: Bank of England Governor Mark Carney on Tuesday flagged uncertainties stemming from trade disputes and Britain’s departure from the EU […]

Investing in Gold, We Like Miners and Royalty Streamers

Investing in Gold, We Like Miners and Royalty Streamers

$XAU, $XAG, $GLD, $SLV, $GOLD, $MTAFF For millennia man has looked at gold as a store is value. And now when the economy is questionable and when the stock market is volatile, many investors turn to gold as a safe-haven and portfolio insurance. So, if gold is on your mind now, check your goals and long-term […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to see the market struggle with the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to see the market struggle with the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to see the market struggle with the 0.70 level After the RBA chose not to cut rates overnight, the Australian dollar strengthened significantly. However, we are starting to struggle at the 0.70 level again, so it’s very likely that we’ve got some choppiness ahead of us. The 0.7060 level above continues to […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is under bearish pressure below 1.1320 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is under bearish pressure below 1.1320 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is under bearish pressure below 1.1320 resistance Earlier in the London and New York session, EUR/USD attempted to regain the 1.1300 figure but sellers pushed the price near the daily low as Tuesday is coming to an end.  Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the way, prices are vulnerable to […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) highly sensitive to stock markets and risk appetite

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) highly sensitive to stock markets and risk appetite

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) highly sensitive to stock markets and risk appetite The US dollar has rolled over against the Japanese yen in early trading on Wednesday as we continue to see a major churn when it comes to this pair. Ultimately, this is a market that will continue to be very noisy based upon […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) weak UK data and Brexit uncertainty weigh

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) weak UK data and Brexit uncertainty weigh

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) weak UK data and Brexit uncertainty weigh The fresh forward-looking purchasing managers’ index adds insult to injury for the pound. Sterling had already been suffering from growing uncertainty around Brexit after parliament was unable to vote on a motion that could have blocked a no-deal Brexit. John Bercow, the speaker of […]

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Mixed Notes: President Trump said Monday that any trade deal with China would need to be “somewhat tilted” in favor of the United States. The US government also threatened tariffs on $4-B of additional EU goods in a long-running dispute […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) forecasts downgraded as Brexit saga drags on into year-end

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) forecasts downgraded as Brexit saga drags on into year-end

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) forecasts downgraded as Brexit saga drags on into year-end The Pound is likely to remain depressed into year-end and beyond according to the latest forecasts from Barclays, while both the Dollar and Euro are set to face trials and tribulations of their own before the curtain closes on 2019.  Currency markets entered […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) potential for an elongated short-squeeze scenario

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) potential for an elongated short-squeeze scenario

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) potential for an elongated short-squeeze scenario Going along with that USD bounce to start Q3, EURUSD has pulled back to test a zone of support as taken from prior resistance. The area runs from around 1.1325-1.1350, which were the April and early-June swing highs, respectively. For themes of USD weakness, the topside of […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors now shift their focus to this week’s important US macro releases

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors now shift their focus to this week’s important US macro releases

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors now shift their focus to this week’s important US macro releases The USD/JPY pair quickly retreated around 30-pips from near two-week tops, albeit has managed to hold its neck comfortably above the 108.00 handle. The pair built on last week’s goodish recovery move from multi-month lows and opened with a […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing extreme negativity

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing extreme negativity

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing extreme negativity The Australian dollar initially gapped higher but then turned right back around to form a very negative candle. This is an ugly little, as the 0.70 level seems to have resisted the market. Beyond that, we have had the meeting between the Americans and the Chinese, and perhaps the […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The US and China agreed on Saturday to resume trade negotiations after President Trump offered concessions to his Chinese counterpart Xi when the 2 leaders met on the sidelines of the G-20 Summit in Japan. OPEC and […]

President Trump’s Successes at the Weekend Pushes Gold Below Key Technical Support

President Trump’s Successes at the Weekend Pushes Gold Below Key Technical Support

$XAU, $GLD, $SLV, $USD Gold fell 1%+ Monday to its lowest in more than a week as USD strengthened and investors opted for riskier assets after the US and China agreed to restart trade talks. Spot gold was down 1.3% at $1,391.29 oz, as of 0411 GMT, US gold futures dipped 1.3% to $1,394.90 oz. […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) this week’s key events are the PMI reports

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) this week’s key events are the PMI reports

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) this week’s key events are the PMI reports British consumers remain gloomy about the economy, as GfK Consumer Confidence dropped to -13, below the estimate of -11. Britain’s balance of payments deteriorated in Q1, as the current account deficit widened to GBP 3.0 billion, up sharply from 27.3 billion in Q4 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) forms bullish flag pattern

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) forms bullish flag pattern

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) forms bullish flag pattern The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate is trading at around 1.1368 at the start of the new trading week, virtually unchanged from the week before. However, studies of the charts suggest the exchange rate will probably rise in the days to come. The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate is trading at around […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) demand for risky assets should also be stronger

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) demand for risky assets should also be stronger

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) demand for risky assets should also be stronger I expect the initial reaction to the news to be bullish for the Dollar/Yen. I’m expecting firm U.S. Treasury yields which should drive up demand for the U.S. Dollar. Demand for risky assets should also be stronger. Whether the rally in the USD/JPY […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday Although the RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday, comments last week from RBA Governor Philip Lowe indicated a somewhat dovish tone moving forward. Lowe essentially said that to expect a further interest rate cut was “no unrealistic”. […]

New Zealand Dollar: NZD/USD (NZD=X) downside risks related to trade activity have intensified

New Zealand Dollar: NZD/USD (NZD=X) downside risks related to trade activity have intensified

New Zealand Dollar: NZD/USD (NZD=X) downside risks related to trade activity have intensified The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) held interest rates steady on June 26, but said further cuts to borrowing costs may be needed given growing economic risks at home and abroad. The RBNZ kept the official cash rate (OCR) at a […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Ease Notes: President Trump made clear Friday that trade is his Top priority at this G-20 Summit, as China’s Xi warned against rising protectionism and India, Japan and Russia defended multi-lateral trade rules. Investors and Traders await the meeting between […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) Holds Within a 50 pip Range

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) Holds Within a 50 pip Range

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) Holds Within a 50 pip Range There was some strong downside momentum in GBP/USD on Tuesday after it failed to cross an important resistance level. That momentum has died down significantly as the pair has fallen into a range. On a 4-hour chart, the 100 and 200-period moving averages appear to be containing […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 10% undervalued Vs USD after 2018-2019 falls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 10% undervalued Vs USD after 2018-2019 falls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 10% undervalued Vs USD after 2018-2019 falls The Australian Dollar is undervalued by a double-digit percentage although correcting the mismatch between market prices and the intrinsic value of the Antipodean unit could be a long and drawn out process, according to new analysis from Commonwealth Bank of Australia. Australia’s currency is down almost 1% […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) struggles to find direction

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) struggles to find direction

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) struggles to find direction After climbing to its highest level in more than two weeks at 108.16, the USD/JPY pair lost its traction in the last hours and erased its daily gains. As of writing, the pair was virtually unchanged on a daily basis at 107.84. The latest reports surrounding the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Volatility Slows as Investors Await G20 Summit Outcome

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Volatility Slows as Investors Await G20 Summit Outcome

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Volatility Slows as Investors Await G20 Summit Outcome Volatility in EUR/USD has slowed over the past few sessions as the pair has fallen into a range. There is some US data later today that stands to move the pair, however, the emphasis is on the G20 Summit later this week. Investors are hopeful that […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Investors and Traders await the meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this week for signs of a de-escalation in the trade dispute. The 2 world leaders will meet at the G-20 Summit in Japan. Just in from […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Benefits from Trade Hopes and Central Bank Speculation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Benefits from Trade Hopes and Central Bank Speculation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Benefits from Trade Hopes and Central Bank Speculation Despite slightly dampened Federal Reserve interest rate cut bets, the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate has continued to advance this week so far. The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to rebound from its recent lows due to numerous factors. Since hitting […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) appears ripe for a pullback given the grind at support around the 107.00

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) appears ripe for a pullback given the grind at support around the 107.00

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) appears ripe for a pullback given the grind at support around the 107.00 Back on the short-side of the US Dollar, USDJPY has been an area of focus for the past month. The pair has done a fairly decent job of reflecting risk tonalities this year; flying-higher through Q1 as equity markets […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) July Rate Cut Expectations Drop Following Fed Speeches

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) July Rate Cut Expectations Drop Following Fed Speeches

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) July Rate Cut Expectations Drop Following Fed Speeches Fed member speeches confirmed that the Fed is indeed ready to cut rates, just not at the pace that the markets believe it will. Powell held his stance that the Fed will act to sustain the recovery, similar to his rhetoric at the Fed […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down “The Stars look to be aligning for the Gold market, Gold could rise as high as $1,500 by the end of the year”– PE The Big Q: Why the Melt Up? The Big A: If gold remains above previous […]

President Trump Sees USD Too Strong, Cites Fed Policy

President Trump Sees USD Too Strong, Cites Fed Policy

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, $RUTX, $VXX The White House declared Tuesday that President Trump believes USD is too strong, and EUR is too weak, that he feels the situation could be eased if the Fed lowered interest rates sooner rather than later. Further, that White House had no plans to demote Fed Chairman Powell, adding that […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can continue to go higher with people knowing that the RBA is very likely to cut rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can continue to go higher with people knowing that the RBA is very likely to cut rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can continue to go higher with people knowing that the RBA is very likely to cut rates The Australian dollar has rallied during trading on Monday, reaching the 50 day EMA before pulling back slightly at the end of the session. At this point, the question is whether or not the […]

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) to trade heavily this summer as political risk rises

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) to trade heavily this summer as political risk rises

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) to trade heavily this summer as political risk rises Pound Sterling could be in for a rough ride against the Dollar and Euro through the remaining summer months, according to strategists at HSBC, who say the mounting threat of both a ‘no deal’ Brexit and general election will weigh on the British […]

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