Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) slips as USD rebounds, Deutsche Bank eyes further losses

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) slips as USD rebounds, Deutsche Bank eyes further losses

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) slips as USD rebounds, Deutsche Bank eyes further losses The Euro ceded ground to a resurgent Dollar Thursday but could have a way further to fall over the coming months, according to the latest strategy note from analysts at Deutsche Bank, who advocate betting against the single currency through the summer months. Europe’s […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Flat, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: Long term prospects for EUR are not bright, given the region’s soft economic fundamentals. But the news on the auto tariff delay is helping the single currency establish support at $1.1200 Growth in China’s industrial output slowed […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sits at one-week low after GDP boost as trade risks weigh

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sits at one-week low after GDP boost as trade risks weigh

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sits at one-week low after GDP boost as trade risks weigh The Euro was languishing at a one-week low Wednesday after official figures confirming a pickup in the economy during the first-quarter failed to inspire a bid for the single currency, with the data coming as major banks continue to downgrade their […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Steady, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: The FX (foreign exchange) market showed little reaction to worse-than-expected growth in Chinese industrial output and retail sales for April that underlined the need for Beijing to roll out more stimulus measures to support the world’s 2nd-largest […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) weakness is expected to face solid support at 1.1205

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) weakness is expected to face solid support at 1.1205

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) weakness is expected to face solid support at 1.1205 Intraday risk is tilted to the downside but expect strong support at 1.1205. EUR traded between 1.1220 and 1.1265 yesterday, close to our expected sideway trading range of 1.1215/1.1265. The rapid set-back from 1.1265 has weakened the underlying tone and the intraday risk […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

2$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Notes: President Trump increased pressure on China to reach a trade deal, as he hiked US tariffs on $200-B worth of Chinese goods, and now targets $325-B more. Middle East focus: Saudi Arabia Monday said that 2 […]

Is Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rally on trade tensions sustainable?

Is Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)  rally on trade tensions sustainable?

Is Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rally on trade tensions sustainable? EUR/USD kept a cautious upward bias on Friday. After a slow start, the pair was propelled to the mid 1.12 area as US CPI data (slightly) missed market expectations. US-German interest rate differentials initially narrowed further, but this move was partially reversed at the end of […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

2$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Off, USD Flat, Crude Oil Mixed, Stocks Down Notes: President Trump increased pressure on China to reach a trade deal, as he hiked US tariffs on $200-B worth of Chinese goods, and now targets $325-B more. The UAE said Sunday that 4 commercial vessels were […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rejected by 50-day moving average

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rejected by 50-day moving average

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rejected by 50-day moving average The Euro-to-Dollar rate is set to begin trading around 1.1232 Sunday after rising by a quarter of a percent during the previous week, although studies of the charts suggest further upside may be increasingly difficult for the single currency to attain over the coming days.   Europe’s currency […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Firm, USD Down, Crude Oil Steady, Stocks Mixed Notes: President Trump has increased pressure on China to reach a trade deal, as he hiked US tariffs on $200-B worth of Chinese goods 12:01a Friday, and targets $325-B more.. China Vice Premier Liu He is in […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recent range finally got broken on a sudden bullish spike

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recent range finally got broken on a sudden bullish spike

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recent range finally got broken on a sudden bullish spike EUR/USD is trading in a bear trend below its main simple moving averages (SMAs). On Thursday buyers almost reached 1.1255 where lies the 50 SMA.   Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Down, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Down Notes: And again, President Trump has increased pressure on China to reach a trade deal, saying he will hike US tariffs on $200-B worth of Chinese goods tat 12:01a Friday, and targets $325-B more.. China wants the tariffs […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) eurozone economic sentiment fell to its lowest level in more than two years

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) eurozone economic sentiment fell to its lowest level in more than two years

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) eurozone economic sentiment fell to its lowest level in more than two years The actual release outperformed the forecast by 0.1%. Spanish flash GDP figure exceeded estimates too. Even Italian data was quite promising – prelim GDP level was placed at 0.2% against -0.1% forecast. German prelim CPI level beat the forecast […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

FLASH: Gold Firmed, USD Off, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Notes: Again, President Trump has increased pressure on China to reach a trade deal, saying he will hike US tariffs on $200-B worth of Chinese goods tat 12:01a this Friday, and targets $325-B more.. China wants the tariffs to be lifted, while President Trump wants to […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Firm, Dollar Softens

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Firm, Dollar Softens

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Firm, Dollar Softens A slightly busier day of economic data awaits on Tuesday. Starting off with some German industrial data we have factory orders and industrial production. This is important because of the number 1 European economies’ reliance on automobile sales. Next is the UK’s Halifax House Price Index, which while important […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: President Trump Sunday increased pressure on China to reach a trade deal, saying he will hike US tariffs on $200-B worth of Chinese goods tat 12:01a this Friday, and targets $325-B more.. China wants the tariffs to be lifted, while President Trump wants to keep […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to see the 1.12 level offer more selling

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to see the 1.12 level offer more selling

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to see the 1.12 level offer more selling The Euro rallied a bit during the trading session on Monday to kick the week off, but then rolled over near the 1.12 handle. This is an area where you would expect to see trouble, because it is such a large, round, psychologically significant […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Down Notes: President Trump Sunday increased pressure on China to reach a trade deal, saying he will hike US tariffs on $200-B worth of Chinese goods this Friday, and targets $325-B more soon. The President’s aggressive strategy drew bi-partisan support from US Senate Democratic leader […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Eurozone inflation is expected to climb to 1.7% in April, marking a 5-month high

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Eurozone inflation is expected to climb to 1.7% in April, marking a 5-month high

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Eurozone inflation is expected to climb to 1.7% in April, marking a 5-month high Eurozone inflation is expected to climb to 1.7% in April, marking a 5-month high. The stronger reading is a reflection of higher oil prices, which has pushed prices higher. Inflation is moving closer to the ECB target of […]

Gold Looks Cheap in Here, Central Banks are Key Buyers

Gold Looks Cheap in Here, Central Banks are Key Buyers

$GLD, $XAU, $EUR, $USD FLASH: Gold prices could still surge 20% this year as precious-metal investors and speculators are right to believe in a bright future for the commodity. One international guru told Barron’s that he considers gold at current marks of just below $1,300 oz a “bargain.” His price target for the year is […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Flat (May Day Holiday) Notes: Investors await US employment figures due later today, which is forecast to show 185,000 net new jobs were added in April and the unemployment rate steady at 3.8% Reflecting investor sentiment in gold, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Trades Lower as Fed Reaffirms ‘Patient’ Policy Stance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Trades Lower as Fed Reaffirms ‘Patient’ Policy Stance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Trades Lower as Fed Reaffirms ‘Patient’ Policy Stance EUR/USD Exchange Rate Steadies Following Losses The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate is holding steady this morning after slipping from a one-week high yesterday evening following the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting. At the time of writing the EUR/USD exchange rate is virtually […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Off, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Flat (May Day Holiday) Note: USD consolidated in Asia Thursday after recovering from a brief spill overnight when markets were whipsawed by mixed messages on policy from the Fed. There was little immediate reaction to a report the United States and China were nearing a trade […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Off, USD Down, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Flat (May Day Holiday) Note: China and the United States began their latest talks in Beijing on Wednesday aimed at ending a bitter trade dispute, after US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he had a “nice” working dinner the night before with China Vice Premier […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Down Note: The quiet start to the week in global equity markets comes ahead of a 2-day meeting of the policy-setting FOMC. The committee is set to release its latest statement at 2:00p EDT (1800 GMT) Wednesday. We have now turned from sentiment where this […]

Buy Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ahead of likely GDP surprise says Soc Gen

Buy Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)  ahead of likely GDP surprise says Soc Gen

Buy Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ahead of likely GDP surprise says Soc Gen The Euro is a buy ahead of the publication of first-quarter GDP data, according to analysts at Societe Generale, who’re telling clients that pessimism about the single currency outlook has gone far enough just as colleagues elsewhere in the industry are abandoning earlier bets […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Note: We have now turned from sentiment where this stock rally was 1 where professionals did not take part in, to a fast paced entry where hedge funds and investors are chasing markets they have been betting against. While the strong US GDP data […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues falling in descending channel

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues falling in descending channel

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues falling in descending channel The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate is trading at 1.1139 at the start of the new week after falling about 0.9% in the week before. The U.S. Dollar remains an outperformer in global FX with investors noting the U.S. economy continues to firmly outperform global rivals, a view confirmed […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Down Notes: China, the world’s biggest buyer of Iranian oil, this week formally complained to the United States over its unilateral Iran sanctions. Crude Oil output in the United States, which turned into the world’s Top producer last year, last week edged back to its […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Target 1.11

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Target 1.11

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Target 1.11 The Euro initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, but then rolled over rather significantly. We continue to see a lot of US dollar strength, for a whole host of reasons. The ECB is extremely loose and of course the economic numbers in the European Union aren’t exactly […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Up, Crude Oil Mixed, Stocks Down Notes: Crude Oil output in the United States, which turned into the world’s Top producer last year, last week edged back to its record high at 12.2-M BPD, while net imports rose 900,000 BPD, EIA data showed. German business morale deteriorated in April, bucking […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Lower, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Down Notes: The International Energy Agency (IEA), a watchdog for Crude Oil consuming countries, said in a statement Tuesday that markets are “adequately supplied” and that “global spare production capacity remains at comfortable levels.” US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced “that as of May 2, […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Lower, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Higher Notes: US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced “that as of May 2, the State Department will no longer grant sanctions waivers to any country that is currently importing Iranian Crude or condensate.” US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin told reporters trade negotiations between the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) gains traction and advances to the mid-1.1200s

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) gains traction and advances to the mid-1.1200s

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) gains traction and advances to the mid-1.1200s The Euro pair may find some upward space on the back of downbeat expected US data and crude upsurge. Investors look forward to April 23 as the UK parliament will reopen after the Easter Recess. In the near term, the bears seemed to remain under […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Notes: Following the Good Friday holiday, markets in Britain, Germany and France will remain closed for Easter Monday, while those in the United States will reopen. Brent and US Crude futures surged to 6-month highs on reports that US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) push-lower re-testing the 1.1250 level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) push-lower re-testing the 1.1250 level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) push-lower re-testing the 1.1250 level Tomorrow marks Good Friday, meaning many western markets will remain closed, and Monday brings Easter and will see European markets remain on holiday. But ahead of the long weekend FX markets are showing as much excitement as they have so far in Q2, marked by a strong […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: US Crude Oil inventories fell by 3.1-M bbls in the week ended 12 April to 452.7-M, compared with analysts’ expectations for an increase of 1.7-M bbl, according to data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) released Tuesday. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) close above 1.1330 would suggest EUR is ready to tackle 1.1400

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) close above 1.1330 would suggest EUR is ready to tackle 1.1400

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) close above 1.1330 would suggest EUR is ready to tackle 1.1400 While we have expected EUR to “trade with an upside bias” for more than a week (see update on 04 Apr, spot at 1.1245), we were of the view that the “prospect for EUR to move to the next resistance at […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Notes: The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia, known as OPEC+, will meet in June to decide whether to continue withholding supply. That comes after they previously agreed to crimp output by 1.2-M BPD from 1 January for 6 months. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after positive week

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after positive week

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after positive week EUR/USD has started the week with small gains. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.1310, up 0.10% on the day. Last week, the pair climbed 0.7%, its best week since mid-March. It’s quiet on the fundamentals front, with no major events out of the eurozone. In the U.S., […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Eased, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Note: Again this week the world’s investors are focused on big bank earnings. Among positive catalysts in the market are a better-than- expected credit and export growth figures from China, a positive kick-off to the earnings season in the United States and hopes of […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) data may prove supportive but worries remain over the strength of the Euro-Zone economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) data may prove supportive but worries remain over the strength of the Euro-Zone economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) data may prove supportive but worries remain over the strength of the Euro-Zone economy The single-currency is gaining strength going into the weekend, aided in part by weakness in the US dollar, and will wait until data releases mid-week until it confirms whether this trend has further to go. The most important […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Flat, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Note: This week the world’s investors are focused on big bank earnings. Comments from Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida that the U.S. economy is in a “good place” but reemphasizing the Fed’s patience on rate hikes, also helped to reassure investors Thursday ahead of […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Eased Note: This week the world’s investors are focused on geopolitical events and big bank earnings. President Trump threatened to impose tariffs on $11-B worth of European Union products, heightening tensions over a long-running transatlantic Airbus subsidy dispute. European Union leaders gave Britain six more months to […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Firm,Stocks Eased Note: This week the world’s investors are focused on geopolitical events and big bank earnings, as the S&P 500 ends 8 day rally with a Fibo recap. Investors will also focus on a European Central Bank (ECB) meeting Wednesday. President Donald Trump threatened to impose […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Single Market Traders Prepare For ECB

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Single Market Traders Prepare For ECB

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Single Market Traders Prepare For ECB Monday’s session saw the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate pull away from support at $1.12 to gain almost half-a-percent amid a data-sparse session with the single currency gains attributed to a lack of Greenback appeal. Into Tuesday, the EURUSD was last seen trading at $1.12716, […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: This week the world’s investors are focused on geopolitical events and big bank earnings as the S&P 500 continues to drive North Eastern forces Monday were advancing on the Libyan capital Tripoli in the latest of a cycle of warfare since Muammar Gaddafi’s fall in […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in falling channel and expected to extend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)  in falling channel and expected to extend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in falling channel and expected to extend The Euro-to-Dollar rate is trading at 1.1215 at the start of the new week, virtually unchanged from the week before owing to a short-term period of consolidation. If we take a step back however and consider the technical perspective, the outlook for the pair is […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: The world’s nvestors are now focused on geopolitical events and big bank earnings. In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose to a 1-week high Monday as USD edged lower, while investors awaited minutes of the Fed’s March FOMC meeting Wednesday. Spot gold gained about 0.4% […]

Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical Events + Big Bank Earnings

Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical  Events + Big Bank Earnings

$BAC, $C, $JPM, $MS, $WFC, $USD, $GBP, $JPY The Fed As the US yield curve is deciding whether to invert/not Invert, investors seek reassurance that we are in a era of non-inflationary growth, and focus on monthly price gauges this week. Wednesday, the US Labor Department is expected to report that its March Consumer Price […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) price action suggests investor indecision and impending volatility

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) price action suggests investor indecision and impending volatility

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) price action suggests investor indecision and impending volatility Based on Friday’s close at 1.1215, the direction of the EUR/USD on Monday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the minor top at 1.1255 and the minor bottom at 1.1183. Holding inside this range will indicate investor indecision. Bullish Scenario Taking […]

Sell in May or stay and pray?

Sell in May or stay and pray?

According to the popular but pithy market aphorism, share market investors should “sell in May and go away” to avoid a seasonal downturn. Ah, if only it were that easy! The Gregorian calendar may tick over reliably, but many market watchers now believe the adage is a less than reliable indicator of market performance. The […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Down, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Steady Note: Investors are now awaiting the US jobs numbers for more signals on the strength of the economy. Reuters reported Saudi Arabia is threatening to sell its Crude Oil in currencies other than USDs if Washington passes a bill exposing OPEC members to US […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing major support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing major support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing major support The Euro continues to bounce around the physical and psychologically important 1.12 handle. This is a market that continues to bounce around in a larger consolidation area, so therefore we should be paying attention to the outer ranges. The Euro has fallen rather hard during trading on Thursday, as we […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Mixed, Stocks Up Note: The Chinese RMB Yuan will hold its recent gains Vs USD, and likely make a move forward from current marks over the coming year, as optimism about a US-China trade deal offsets anxiety over weak domestic economic growth, a Reuters poll showed. In Asia […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in a consolidation phase

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in a consolidation phase

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in a consolidation phase The Euro has bounced nicely from the 1.12 level during the trading session on Wednesday, as we continue to see the longer-term consolidation area hold. The 1.12 level is the bottom of this major area, with the 1.15 level above offering massive resistance. As we have reached an […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note:  3 of 8 countries granted waivers by Washington to import Crude Oil from Iran have cut the imports to Zero, the improved global market conditions would help reduce Iranian exports further. UK  Prime Minister Theresa May said Tuesday she would seek another BREXIT […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Factories in the euro zone had their worst month for almost six years

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Factories in the euro zone had their worst month for almost six years

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Factories in the euro zone had their worst month for almost six years EUR/USD attempts to retrace the decline from earlier this week as the U.S. Durable Goods Orders report does little to heighten the appeal of the greenback, and the failed attempt to test the 2019-low (1.1176) may spur a rebound in […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: China’s PMI number was the most significant monthly increase since Y 2012, which should ease concerns around a potential threat to Crude Oil demand. In Asia Gold: Gold prices declined to a more than 3-week lows Tuesday as waning global economic slowdown concerns lifted […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Investors are keeping a close eye on the ebb and flow of the U.S.-China trade talks

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Investors are keeping a close eye on the ebb and flow of the U.S.-China trade talks

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Investors are keeping a close eye on the ebb and flow of the U.S.-China trade talks After a tough week, EUR/USD has started the week with slight gains. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.1235, up 0.15% on the day. On the release front, it’s a busy day. German and eurozone manufacturing […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: USD off 0.1% Vs Key rivals, after hitting its highest since 11 March Friday, while Asian stocks rallied as positive Chinese factory data and signs of progress in US-China trade talks supported sentiment. In Asia Gold: Gold prices up Monday as USD backed off […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key area to watch will be 1.1185 to 1.1176

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key area to watch will be 1.1185 to 1.1176

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key area to watch will be 1.1185 to 1.1176 The Euro closed lower on Friday as it edged toward a key long-term retracement level and its March 7 main bottom. After topping on March 20, the single-currency has erased nearly all of its gains from earlier in month. For the month, the […]

Gold Price Forecast Balance of 2019

Gold Price Forecast Balance of 2019

$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $EURUSD After last Thursday’s action in the Gold market, I believe the precious Yellow metal markets are in a Key mark. The Big Q is whether or not the psych support mark at $1300 level will hold. If it does, then things will take care of themselves and will look towards at […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Flat, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: Japanese refineries have put a halt on imports of Iranian Crude Oil after buying 15.3-M bbl between January and March ahead of the expiry of a temporary waiver on US sanctions, according to industry sources and data on Refinitiv Eikon. China stock jumped Friday […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB President Mario Draghi had warned of sustained downside risk for the global economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB President Mario Draghi had warned of sustained downside risk for the global economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB President Mario Draghi had warned of sustained downside risk for the global economy The EUR/USD experienced a minor correction on the early hours of the Thursday trading session following an escalation in the US Dollar Index. The index had soared on the grounds of an increasing dovish outlook of the major world banks. […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Flat, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Flat Note: China has made unprecedented proposals in talks with the United States on a range of issues including forced technology transfer as the 2 sides work to overcome remaining obstacles to a deal to end their trade dispute, US officials said Wednesday. In Asia Gold: […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: UK Prime Minister Theresa May will address Conservative Party lawmakers, possibly to set out a timetable for her departure, to win support for her 2X-rejected BREXIT deal as the Parliament prepares to vote on a variety of possible options. A senior International Monetary Fund […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) likely to be determined by trader reaction

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) likely to be determined by trader reaction

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) likely to be determined by trader reaction The Euro is trading nearly flat on Tuesday as investors await fresh news about Brexit and a slew of U.S. economic data. Traders are also saying that the single-currency is being supported by economic surveys showing tentative signs of recovery in the Euro Zone economy […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Market participants are keeping a close watch on the latest round of US-China trade negotiations, scheduled to start Thursday in Beijing, and the next BREXIT vote. British lawmakers will now vote on a range of BREXIT options Wednesday, giving parliament a chance to […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is likely to trade sideways

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is likely to trade sideways

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is likely to trade sideways While we indicated last Friday (22 Mar) that “in order to maintain the current momentum, EUR could not afford to ‘dither’ as it would greatly decrease the prospect for further EUR strength”, the subsequent large decline of more than -0.50% (NY close of 1.1313, -0.52%) came as […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Down Notes: A US trade delegation headed by Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will visit China on 28-29 March which will be followed by a trip by Chinese Vice Premier Liu He to Washington in early April. Concerns about a potential US […]

The Geopolitical Uncertainty Vs The Price of Gold

The Geopolitical Uncertainty Vs The Price of Gold

$GLD, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CNY What we have been seeing over the past few years is that confidence in government is fading and the price of Gold is rising. Some current examples The UK House of Commons voted 413-202 last week to delay Britain’s exit from the EU. Despite resounding defeats, Prime Minister Theresa May […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Down, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Notes: EU leaders have given Prime Minister Theresa May two weeks’ reprieve, until 12 April, before Britain could lurch out of the EU if she fails to persuade lawmakers to back the withdrawal treaty she concluded with Brussels. A US trade delegation headed by […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovery faces yearly open resistance at 1.1445

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovery faces yearly open resistance at 1.1445

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovery faces yearly open resistance at 1.1445 The Euro rally is now testing yearly open / slope resistance and leaves the immediate recovery vulnerable while below 1.1445. From a trading standpoint, we’re looking for signs of support while above 1.1232. If price has indeed turned a corner. That said, a break below […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Dowu, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed held interest rates steady, shave the number of hikes projected for the rest of the year at none and release details of a plan to end the monthly reduction of its massive balance sheet in September. US Crude Oil stockpiles last […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited Outlook in EUR/USD remains unchanged. Further rise could be seen with 1.1294 minor support intact despite loss of upside momentum. But upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance to complete the corrective rebound from 1.1176. On the downside, below 1.1294 minor support will turn bias to the downside […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday is expected to hold interest rates steady, shave the number of hikes projected for the rest of the year to 1-2 or none, and release long-awaited details of a plan to end the monthly reduction of its massive balance sheet. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1176 could extend higher but it’s still viewed as a corrective move. Hence, upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.1294 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.1176 low first. […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Steady Notes: UK PM May’s BREXIT plans were thrown into further turmoil on Monday when the speaker of Parliament ruled that she could not put her divorce deal to a new vote unless it was re-submitted in fundamentally different form. She has just 2 days […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors are focused on macro data updates for short term profit opportunities

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors are focused on macro data updates for short term profit opportunities

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors are focused on macro data updates for short term profit opportunities Since trading session opened for the week in Pacific-Asian market hours, the pair has managed to hold on to steady upside price action and moved well near last week’s highs as the spread difference between 2-year US-Germany government bond yields […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Off, USD Off, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: Data Friday showed US manufacturing output fell for a 2nd month running in February and factory activity in New York state hit near a 2 low this month, further evidence of a sharp slowdown in economic growth early in Q-1. In Asia Gold: Spot […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1176 continued last week despite lost of upside momentum. No change in the view that it’s a corrective move. Hence, in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.1277 […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Firm, Stocks Up Notes: The Bank of Japan’s kept interest rates unchanged Chinese Vice Premier Liu He spoke by telephone with US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, with the 2 sides making further substantive progress on trade talks, China’s official Xinhua news […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) controlled by the Fibonacci level at 1.1327

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) controlled by the Fibonacci level at 1.1327

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) controlled by the Fibonacci level at 1.1327 Renewed concerns over Brexit are putting pressure on the Euro shortly after the U.S. opening. Earlier in the session, the single-currency hit its highest level since March 5, but there was no follow-through to the upside as traders began to square positions after the latest […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady , USD Off, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Flat Notes: The United States aims to cut Iran’s Crude exports by about 20% to below 1-M BPD from May by requiring importing countries to reduce purchases to avoid US sanctions, 2 sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. Both sources said they were […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB interest rates likely to stay low in Europe

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB interest rates likely to stay low in Europe

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB interest rates likely to stay low in Europe The Euro may have rebounded during recent sessions but the outlook from a fundamental perspective remains decidedly uninspiring as the European Central Bank (ECB) appears to jettison its previous plan to withdraw the crutch of crisis-era easing.  The Euro has climbed back up to 1.1300 […]

Nick Leeson on Brexit, Boeing and the Day Ahead

Nick Leeson on Brexit, Boeing and the Day Ahead

Brexit news provided the impetus for a bumpy ride for the European Indices and Sterling yesterday. A positive stance after news of concessions from the EU was quickly replaced by uncertainty and a swift move lower as legal opinion indicated that we were no nearer a path through the forest to a successful Brexit. In […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up , USD Off, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Down Notes: Gold scaled a near 2-week high Wednesday, after reclaiming the Key $1,300 mark in the prior session, as investors opted for the safe-haven precious Yellow metal after British lawmakers rejected an amended exit deal, while a weaker uSD lent further support. Washington could […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up , USD Steady, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Up Notes: European Commission head Jean-Claude Juncker agreed to additional assurances in an updated BREXIT deal with British Prime Minister Theresa May Monday, but warned UK lawmakers would not get a 3rd chance to endorse it. Washington could lift most or all of its tariffs on […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) traders await German data

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) traders await German data

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) traders await German data EUR/USD struggles around 1.1230 while heading towards European sessions on Monday. The pair fall short of extending Friday’s NFP-backed recovery as recent comments from the Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave little importance to the data miss. Monthly readings of German trade balance and industrial production could offer intermediate […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up , USD Steady, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Up Notes: Fed Chairman Powell said Friday that the central bank will be careful not to shock financial markets as it stabilizes its bond portfolio, saying that it does not see problems in the US economy that warrant an immediate change in its policy. Washington […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up , USD Steady, Crude Oil Falling, Stocks Up Notes: Washington could lift most or all of its tariffs on Beijing while Presidents Trump and Xi ready to sign a final trade deal later this month and Summit at Mar a Lago. President Trump says, “All of nothing at all!” US jobs report […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Searches for Support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Searches for Support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Searches for Support EUR/USD tumbles to fresh yearly lows as the European Central Bank (ECB) plans to implement another round of Targeted Long-Term Refinance Operations (TLTRO), and the exchange rate may continue to search for support over the coming days as clears the 2018-low (1.1216). The announcement suggests the ECB will continue to […]

EU’s Economic Collapse Brings on New ECB Initiatives

EU’s Economic Collapse Brings on New ECB Initiatives

$EUR FLASH: ECB will maintain current level of rates through the end of Y 2019 and launch new targeted longer-term refinancing operation (TLTRO-III) in September European Central Bank presented a huge set of monetary policy initiatives Thursday that sent economists and analysts on Twitter spinning. Below are some of their quick reactions as the EUR […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady , USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Notes: Investors are looking ahead to the ECB’s board meeting Thursday. The ECB is expected to pare growth forecasts and give its strongest signal yet that more stimulus is coming in the form of more cheap loans. Washington could lift most or all […]

Brexit woes and upbeat USD to pressure Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)

Brexit woes and upbeat USD to pressure Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)

Brexit woes and upbeat USD to pressure Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) The EURUSD pair yesterday saw a bearish breakout in American market hours as upbeat US macro data underpinned US Dollar’s positive price action in the broad market. Despite Wall Street continuing to see some level of bearish price action, US Greenback remained unaffected as last […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Firm, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Notes: US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Monday he thought the United States and China were “on the cusp” of a deal to end their trade dispute, but President Trump will reject any deal that is not perfect. The WS-J reported Washington could lift […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) but at the 1.12 handle

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) but at the 1.12 handle The Euro rolled over a bit during the trading session on Monday, as the pair of shooting star candles foretold of selling pressure. That being the case, we will probably reach down towards the bottom of the overall consolidation area, which is closer to the 1.12 handle. Somewhere […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) main focus will be the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy meeting

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) main focus will be the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy meeting

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) main focus will be the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy meeting The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate closed the initial gap higher in early Monday trading, falling from the weekly open of $1.13825 to trade at $1.13503 – a March low – at the time of writing. For the single currency, […]

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