Cryptocurrency Crackdown Sparks a Rush to Gold
$BTCUSD, $GLD, $BAC
Market guru Mark Mobius said he is sensing danger in the explosive growth of cryptocurrencies.
Governments will begin clamping down on digital currencies because of their use in illicit financing, with terrorist groups to drug dealers contributing to their rise, Mr. Mobius, Executive Chairman at Templeton Emerging Markets Group, said in Hong Kong Monday.
“Cryptocurrencies are beginning to get out of control and it’s going to attract the attention of governments around the world,” Mr. Mobius said. “You’re going to get a reversion back to Gold because people are going to wonder, can I really trust these currencies?”
And the crackdown has already begun in China, home to the majority of Bitcoin miners.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said Monday that ICOs (initial coin offerings) are illegal and that all related fundraising activity is halted immediately and the money refunded.
The central bank said it completed investigations into organizations and individuals who have conducted so-called ICOs, and have ruled that such activities disturb financial order and will be banned.
In the US banks and regulators are studying distributed ledger technology.
Fed officials have made a couple of formal speeches on the topic in the past 12 months, and have voiced reservations about digital currencies themselves.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) was cautious around Bitcoin in July, saying there were a lot of obstacles, such as theft and hacking risks, that make it unlikely it will gain the status of pledgeable collateral.
Bitcoin fell more than 10 percent on Monday, after news of the PBOC curbs. While the cryptocurrency is still up more than 360% this year and is within striking distance of its record, it is also prone to wild swings.
Bitcoin surpassed the price for an ounce of Gold for the first time in March.
Investors have poured hundreds of millions of dollars into the digital currency market this year alone, with the dollar value of the 20 biggest cryptocurrencies around $150-B, according to data from Coinmarketcap.com.
“People need a means of exchange and they need to trust that,” said Mr. Mobius, who was interviewed before China’s announcement. “Right now the trust is good — with bitcoin people are buying and selling it, they think it’s a reasonable market — but there will come a day when government crackdowns come in and you begin to see the currency come down.”
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