Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX
The market’s focus this week: new money, earnings season, and the jobs report Friday.
September was not a Southside month this year, solid but not huge. So many participants are expecting a selloff in October.
It may happen, though it did not happen last year after a solid move higher in September. We saw no Southside action until mid-November and it was a dip only
Then we saw an impressive Bull run higher into late January.
Shayne and I believe what happening now is Bullish, and will become clearer as the market moves through Q-4. We see it as similar to last year with the focus on big caps.
Last year in Q-4 we said buy FANGs and playing them to the exclusion of most other sectors. Thus, marking huge gainers, and playing other opportunities that emerged as sidelined money re-entered the market and bought just about everything in sight.
You will remember that many pundits and talking heads in the media said: the Bull run was done. Then it kept climbing that wall of worry forcing that exited cash back into the market, driving stocks to amazing gainers for us.
We believe that a similar action could very well be in-store this year. We see good money to be made in Q-4 this year,
The Big Q: Will the market decides to sell some in October to reset for a run to year’s end?
The Big A: The recent history tells us that does not have to happen.
With Fed Chairman Powell’s comments this past week asset valuation worries hit worried traders. And again the pundits and talking heads are broadcasting that a selloff is coming and believers may try to sell the market and cause an October dip.
Many market leaders improved their positions and patterns, that lends credibility to HeffX-LTN’s thesis that the market move will again concentrate in fewer names toward year’s end.
Then again it may not and again everything will rally.
As always we will be there analyzing the patterns, and ready to take advantage the good set ups when they break.
And always remember, take what the market gives, do your own work and deploy your money responsibly.
The Bulls Vs The Bears
VIX: 12.12; -0.29
VXN: 16.58; -0.17
VXO: 11.30; -0.38
Put/Call Ratio (P/CR) CBOE: 1.06; +0.12
The Bulls Vs The Bears: Bulls continue tapping at 60.0 the mark that leads to declines. The Bears not moving higher now.
The Bulls are at: 59.0 Vs 57.7 last
The Bears are at: 18.1 Vs 18.3 last
Support and Resistance
HeffX-LTN’s US Major Stock Market Indexes Technical Analysis for the Week Ended 28 September 2018
Have a terrific week