China’s yuan weakened against the US dollar on Friday, with strong corporate demand supporting the greenback but the Chinese currency is on course for its best week in more than a month.
Prior to market opening, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the official yuan midpoint at its strongest in six weeks at 6.5810 per dollar.
If the yuan ends the late night session at the midday level, it would have gained 0.6 per cent against the dollar for the week – its best weekly performance since mid-October. The yuan strengthened around 0.19 per cent a week earlier.
Traders said market sentiment remained cautious in early trade, but some corporate clients rushed to take advantage of the cheaper dollar which dragged spot yuan lower.
The dollar was under pressure in overseas market after the latest minutes from the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting showed concerns over low inflation in the United States.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.
The projected upper bound is: 6.65.
The projected lower bound is: 6.55.
The projected closing price is: 6.60.
A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 20 black candles for a net of 5 white candles.
A piercing line occurred (which indicates that prices moved down on the previous bar, opened even lower, but then closed significantly higher). This implies strength as the momentum appears to be shifting from the bears to the bulls. Note that the higher the close of the white candle (relative to the black candle), the more bullish the Piercing Line pattern.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 20.9263. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 43.26. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 54 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -181.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 15 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX CNY= closed up 0.021 at 6.600. Volume was 49% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 51% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume
6.574 6.606 6.574 6.600 1,500
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6.62 6.62 6.75
Volatility: 4 5 4
Volume: 2,900 2,856 2,521
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX CNY= is currently 2.3% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of CNY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on CNY= and have had this outlook for the last 16 periods.
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