Chicago Agriculture Commodities Finished Mixed Friday 

Chicago Agriculture Commodities Finished Mixed Friday

$CORN, $WEAT, $SOYB

Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) agriculture commodities finished mixed on the week ended 23 February, with Soybean futures rising on hot and dry weather for major Soybean exporter Argentina.

The most active Corn contract for March delivery fell 1.25c weekly, or 0.34%, to 3.6625 bu.

March Wheat delivery went down 5.5c, or 1.2%, to 4.5225 bu.

March Soybean added 14.75c, or 1.44%, to 10.3625 bu, on the week.

Corn futures ended the week slightly lower. The rally has paused amid recent sizeable short covering and partially as dryness concerns are easing across the heart of the Midwest.

Argentina’s crop size is being ratcheted down on a weekly basis, and amid less than ideal weather in South Africa, it is possible that total Southern Hemisphere Corn production will exist in a range of 141-142-M tonnes Vs. 157 tonnes last year.

US Corn was already the world’s cheapest feed grain, and due to steady and higher global Barley and feed Wheat prices, US weekly export sales will continue some 2-3X the average needed to meet the US Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) forecast.

Wheat futures last week ended slightly lower.

Unlike Corn, wheat is not being driven by demand, but rather by ongoing drought expansion across the US plains, and to some extent logistical issues in Canada and Russia.

Bitter cold temps have slowed grain transportation in these 2 countries, and overall this has helped keep world cash Wheat prices firm.

La Nina is likely to weaken beyond the next 30 days or so, but operational models still maintain complete dryness in southwest US through mid-March.

And amid the incredible GDP growth in India, and ongoing US drought, pressure will be placed for another year of big Wheat yields in Y 2018.

Soybean and Soybean Meal markets held gains and were higher at the end of the Holiday shortened trading week, confirming the prior week’s technical breakout.

The market’s focus remains on Argentine crops, where only light and limited rains fell during the week. Moreover, the weather models have yet to show an significant change in the ongoing dry weather trend, with much of the Soybean belt forecast to see less than an in of rain over the next 10 days.

Have a terrific week.

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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