Chances Of Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) Correction Growing
According to a recent Twitter post from Josh Olszewicz, an analyst at Brave New Coin, Bitcoin’s one-day chart is starting to show signs that bears are starting to creep into the cryptocurrency scene. He explains that Bitcoin is currently trading in a rising wedge pattern, which if not broken past, often acts as a catalyst for a bearish trend reversal.
What’s more, there have been bearish divergences between Bitcoin’s price, and the Relative Strength Index and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). In other words, as BTC has moved higher over the past two weeks, these indicators have trended lower. This is important, as bullish divergences (the opposite of bearish divergences) seemingly preceded a number of crypto market rallies throughout recent trading sessions.
This comes after Olszewicz, speaking to Forbes contributor Benjamin Prius said that Bitcoin has reached a point where the pullback that is well on its way will “just be super painful.” Olszewicz then looked to the fact that on high time frames, Bitcoin and indicators pertaining to the asset are showing bearish divergences and overbought signals, as seen above.
What’s more, BTC last week strayed 30% above the Kijun band of the Ichimoku Cloud, an indicator meant to accentuate trends, key support and resistances, and momentums. The last time such a delta was seen between the Kijun band and Bitcoin, BTC spiked. The thing is, that’s when Bitcoin was 30% under the Kijun band. Thus, a drawdown could be necessary for the short term to put BTC back in more sustainable territory.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
The projected upper bound is: 9,364.65.
The projected lower bound is: 7,813.98.
The projected closing price is: 8,589.32.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 33 white candles and 17 black candles for a net of 16 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 53.0772. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 65.53. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 64. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX BTC= closed up 22.160 at 8,521.070. Volume was 50% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 27% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 8,483.98 6,690.14 4,617.29
Volatility: 58 69 74
Volume: 89,321 81,804 79,278
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX BTC= is currently 84.5% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 31 periods.
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