Canadian Dollar: USD/CAD (CAD=X) Canadian Ivey PMI Loses Ground
USD/CAD has recorded slight gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, the pair is trading at 1.3182, up 0.21%.
Canadian Ivey PMI Loses Ground
Canada’s Ivey PMI remained in contraction territory for a second straight month, with a weak reading of 48.2 in October. This was lower than the September reading of 48.7 and missed the forecast of 49.3 points. These readings are worrisome – prior to the September release, the PMI had been pointing to expansion since December 2015.
USD/CAD has been range-bound in November, as the pair remains lackluster. I am keeping an eye on the 50-EMA. The pair broke below this line in the European session but has retreated, as the 50-EMA is providing support at 1.3140. Below, there is support at 1.3120.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.32.
The projected upper bound is: 1.33.
The projected lower bound is: 1.31.
The projected closing price is: 1.32.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 72.6983. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 51.76. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 89 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 103.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX CAD= closed down -0.000 at 1.318. Volume was 100% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 12% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.318 1.318 1.317 1.318 164
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.31 1.32 1.33
Volatility: 4 5 6
Volume: 69,818 67,852 83,823
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX CAD= is currently 0.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume out of CAD= (mildly bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on CAD= and have had this outlook for the last 16 periods.
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