Canadian Dollar: USD/CAD (CAD=X) bulls might overtake the bears in the long run

Canadian Dollar: USD/CAD (CAD=X) bulls might overtake the bears in the long run

Canadian Dollar: USD/CAD (CAD=X) bulls might overtake the bears in the long run

During the early hours, the Loonie pair had already shifted gears, shooting up from 1.3192 bottom mark to 1.3243 level. Laterwards, the pair appeared to slow down, maintaining a consolidation near 1.3226 level.

Meantime, the Crude prices had appeared to drop since last Friday as the US imposed an additional tariff duty over the $300 billion Chinese goods. Anyhow, now Trump’s tariffs have covered nearly all the imported Chinese products. And, the commodity prices continued to tumble as China had recently initiated some retaliation over the US counterpart. Beijing has allowed the Yuan to slip to almost a decade low against the dollar. Along with that, China has asked the state-owned companies to suspend the imports of US agricultural products.

Technical Analysis

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1.33.

The projected lower bound is: 1.31.

The projected closing price is: 1.32.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 66.0568. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 58.22. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 22 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 89. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 20 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX CAD= closed down -0.000 at 1.321. Volume was 92% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 9% wider than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
1.321 1.322 1.319 1.321 6,601
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 1.32 1.32 1.33
Volatility: 2 6 7
Volume: 61,931 71,983 89,752

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX CAD= is currently 0.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of CAD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on CAD= and have had this outlook for the last 8 periods.

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