British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) turning lower after recent rally

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) turning lower after recent rally

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) turning lower after recent rally

GBP/USD rallied sharply at the end of the week, coming off the back of a stronger than expected UK gross domestic product (GDP) reading for November. That has taken us through the $1.2812 resistance level, pointing towards a potential period of upside from here.

However, with the pair turning lower, we could be set for short-term losses as we head towards tomorrow’s parliamentary vote. A break below $1.2706 would signify a more bearish shift, yet for now it makes sense to simply look for a short-term retracement rather than guess the outcome of a highly unpredictable series of events that are due to play out this week.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1.31.

The projected lower bound is: 1.27.

The projected closing price is: 1.29.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 76.7710. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 59.43. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 106 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 144.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 19 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX GBP= closed up 0.002 at 1.288. Volume was 96% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 18% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.286 1.288 1.286 1.288 7,489

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.28 1.28 1.31
Volatility: 11 11 10
Volume: 147,241 186,435 175,063

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX GBP= is currently 1.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of GBP= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 10 periods.

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