British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) rally looks likely to fall short
GBP/USD has been gaining ground since the drop below $1.2477, with the pair now starting to stall.
That drop into a new low on 2 December highlights a continuation of the wider bearish theme, with the current rally looking likely to falter rather than create a new higher high. As such, watch for a potential bearish shift from here, with a rally above $1.2812 required to negate the wider downtrend.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 1.30.
The projected lower bound is: 1.25.
The projected closing price is: 1.28.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 73.8700. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 54.19. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 100 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 133.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 13 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX GBP= closed up 0.004 at 1.277. Volume was 47% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 35% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.273 1.279 1.271 1.277 98,437
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.27 1.28 1.31
Volatility: 10 12 10
Volume: 137,003 192,246 175,879
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX GBP= is currently 2.9% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of GBP= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 4 periods.
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