British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) pushes on downwards
Cable is now at levels last seen a year ago, with no end to the slump in sight for GBP/USD.
The $1.2773 level may serve as support, but if it is broken then $1.2635, $1.2589 and then $1.2366 are the next big areas to watch for possible buying pressure. As has been the case all week, a move above $1.32 is needed to create a new higher high, and any rally that fails to break this level would still look to be another possible selling opportunity.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.31.
The projected upper bound is: 1.29.
The projected lower bound is: 1.25.
The projected closing price is: 1.27.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 0 white candles and 9 black candles for a net of 9 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 18 white candles and 31 black candles for a net of 13 black candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 11.5279. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 22.16. This is where it usually bottoms. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 33 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -114.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 17 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX GBP= closed down -0.000 at 1.272. Volume was 93% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 38% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.273 1.274 1.271 1.272 11,648
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.29 1.31 1.36
Volatility: 5 8 9
Volume: 150,969 167,390 156,952
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX GBP= is currently 6.2% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume out of GBP= (mildly bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 20 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that GBP= is currently in an oversold condition.
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