British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) Diminished odds for further GBP weakness
After dropping sharply to 1.3004 last Thursday (21 Mar), GBP staged a surprisingly robust rebound and hit a high of 1.3224 on Friday. The high was just a few pips below our 1.3230 ‘key resistance’. While the ‘key resistance’ is still intact, the price action has diminished the prospect for GBP to revisit the 1.3000 level (our view from last Friday). From here, unless GBP can move and stay below 1.3130 within these 1 to 2 days, a break of 1.3230 would indicate that GBP is trading sideways within a very broad range.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1.34.
The projected lower bound is: 1.30.
The projected closing price is: 1.32.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 21 white candles and 27 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 54.2890. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 52.83. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 17 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 20. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 16 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX GBP= closed down -0.002 at 1.319. Volume was 24% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 24% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.321 1.324 1.316 1.319 136,202
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.32 1.31 1.30
Volatility: 15 11 11
Volume: 185,036 174,907 179,550
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX GBP= is currently 1.7% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of GBP= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 8 periods.
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