British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) continues to drift lower
GBP/USD has been drifting lower after a recent uptrend that took the pair into a three-month high.
The current move lower looks to take the form of a falling wedge, with a strong possibility that the wider bullish trend will come back into play once more. A break through the $1.3160 swing high would signal that bullish shift. Otherwise, watch to see if we can break below this trendline support, with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) also providing support.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.29.
The projected upper bound is: 1.33.
The projected lower bound is: 1.28.
The projected closing price is: 1.31.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 20.2837. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 57.51. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 25. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX GBP= closed down -0.003 at 1.305. Volume was 71% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 34% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.308 1.309 1.304 1.305 54,490
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.31 1.28 1.30
Volatility: 10 10 10
Volume: 164,801 179,388 176,621
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX GBP= is currently 0.1% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of GBP= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 24 periods.
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