Brexit woes and upbeat USD to pressure Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)
The EURUSD pair yesterday saw a bearish breakout in American market hours as upbeat US macro data underpinned US Dollar’s positive price action in the broad market. Despite Wall Street continuing to see some level of bearish price action, US Greenback remained unaffected as last night’s ISM Non-manufacturing PMI & New Home Sales data were way better than expected and this was interpreted as a sign of strong positive activity in the American economy. This led to the pair seeing a decline below 1.1300 handle and USD bulls were further supported by a weaker Euro in the broad market which has been suffering owing to dovish fundamentals.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 1.14.
The projected lower bound is: 1.12.
The projected closing price is: 1.13.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 5 black candles for a net of 1 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 23 white candles and 25 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 16.6667. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a buy 14 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 41.55. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 144 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -99. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX EUR= closed down -0.000 at 1.130. Volume was 72% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 39% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
1.131 1.132 1.129 1.130 41,005
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.13 1.14 1.15
Volatility: 3 7 8
Volume: 134,969 142,354 143,616
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX EUR= is currently 1.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 20 periods. our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period low while the security price has not. This is a bearish divergence.
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