Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) Still Uncertain
With a $7 billion increase in the combined value of cryptocurrencies, the market has initiated a decent short-term price movement.
But, as a cryptocurrency trader with an online alias “The Crypto Dog” said, the valuation of cryptocurrencies would have to break out of major resistance levels in the range of $160 billion to $180 billion to call for a convincing short-term rally.
“Another day, another lacklustre move. Is this the top? I’m looking for $180 billion if we can turn $140 billion into support, otherwise not much to get excited about just yet,” the trader said.
For three months the market has hovered between $100 and $140 billion. As seen in the yearly chart below, short-term volatility in a low price range doesn’t present a proper accumulation period.
Many traders anticipate an increase in market capitalization to $180 billion as a potential catalyst for a mid-term rally. Even a recovery to $200-$250 billion range could still leave the market vulnerable to a future additional drop in value.
There exists several catalysts in the likes of the scheduled launch of Bakkt, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)’s decision on the VanEck Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) filing, and the development of Nasdaq’s Bitcoin futures market that may contribute to a potential rally of cryptocurrencies in the first quarter of 2019.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
The projected upper bound is: 4,629.19.
The projected lower bound is: 3,374.98.
The projected closing price is: 4,002.09.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.
A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 62.9804. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 55.49. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 21 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 205.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 38 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX BTC= closed down -23.000 at 4,032.000. Volume was 48% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 58% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 3,868.51 3,811.30 5,904.53
Volatility: 50 98 67
Volume: 57,897 91,609 83,146
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX BTC= is currently 31.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 18 periods.
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