Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) slowly recovering above $7,000

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) slowly recovering above $7,000

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) slowly recovering above $7,000

Bitcoin price is slowly recovering above $7,000 against the US Dollar. BTC/USD is likely to struggle near a significant resistance at $7,260.

After heavy declines, bitcoin price found bids near the $6,880 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair traded as low as $6,883 and later it started an upside correction. The price moved above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last slide from the 7,532 high to $6,883 low. More importantly, there was a break above the $7,000 handle, which opened the doors for more recoveries.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

The projected upper bound is: 7,696.08.

The projected lower bound is: 6,392.38.

The projected closing price is: 7,044.23.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 3 white candles.

An engulfing bullish line occurred (where a white candle’s real body completely contains the previous black candle’s real body). The engulfing bullish pattern is bullish during a downtrend (which appears to be the case with FOREX BTC=). It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bears to the bulls.

If the engulfing bullish pattern occurs during an uptrend, it may be a last engulfing top which indicates a top. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes below the top of the current (white) candle’s real body.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 17.9881. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 12 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 42.81. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -104.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 11 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX BTC= closed up 117.950 at 7,037.950. Volume was 47% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 5% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
6,916.6607,085.0006,819.2007,037.950 43,642

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 7,441.63 6,927.50 8,277.50
Volatility: 48 60 109
Volume: 87,280 93,881 68,741

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX BTC= is currently 15.0% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.

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