Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) Push To $6,000 Still In Play
Late last month, NewsBTC reported that Filb Filb, a leading industry researcher, posted two charts in a bid to show that BTC could easily rally to $6,000 by the end of April.
The first was Bitcoin’s price action from July to late-December, but inverted. The second was the asset’s recent price action following December’s downturn, which has been, let’s say, lackluster. Although these two charts may sound nothing alike, Filb depicts eerie similarities both in the structure of moves and the timing, specifically in a bid to show that Bitcoin could see a massive wick to the upside.
Many first cast his call aside, deeming it a mere coincidence that the charts share such similarities. But, with Bitcoin’s recent foray above $5,000, the lines that can be drawn between chart one and two have begun to mount. And as seen below, the structure of the recent move is still resembling that seen following the devastating Bitcoin Cash hard fork.
If this move, which could bring BTC to $6,000, is to play out in full, however, the cryptocurrency trader makes it clear that the Bitcoin price needs to hold above $4,950 in the coming days. If it doesn’t, the inverse fractal pattern is annulled.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 4,206.50.
The projected upper bound is: 5,676.34.
The projected lower bound is: 4,698.38.
The projected closing price is: 5,187.36.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 9 white candles and 1 black candles for a net of 8 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 31 white candles and 19 black candles for a net of 12 white candles.
A rising window occurred (where the top of the previous shadow is below the bottom of the current shadow). This usually implies a continuation of a bullish trend.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 62.6425. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 71.07. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 93. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 8 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX BTC= closed up 158.370 at 5,155.740. Volume was 85% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 245% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 4,749.41 4,093.55 4,588.30
Volatility: 111 71 69
Volume: 80,947 68,026 73,391
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX BTC= gapped up today (bullish) on light volume. Possibility of a Common Gap which usually coincides with a lack of interest in the security. Common Gaps are fairly irrelevent for forecasting purposes. Four types of price gaps exist – Common, Breakaway, Runaway, and Exhaustion. Gaps acts as support/resistance.
FOREX BTC= is currently 12.4% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 9 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that BTC= is currently in an overbought condition.
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