Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) likely to face a strong selling interest near the $6,380

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) likely to face a strong selling interest near the $6,380

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) likely to face a strong selling interest near the $6,380

This past week, bitcoin price saw a solid increase in selling pressure around the $6,600 zone against the US Dollar. As a result, there was a nasty decline and the BTC/USD pair fell below the $6,400 and $6,200 support levels. The price traded towards the $6,100 level and formed a low at $6,093. Later, the price started an upside correction and moved above the $6,200 resistance.

There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last slide from the $6,686 high to $6,093 low. At the outset, it is following an ascending channel with resistance at $6,320. Above this, there is a major bearish trend line in place with resistance at $6,325 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. Finally, the $6,380-6,390 is a crucial resistance zone (the previous support). It also represents the 50% Fib retracement level of the last slide from the $6,686 high to $6,093 low. Therefore, if the price continues to move higher, bitcoin buyers are likely to struggle near the $6,380-6,390 zone.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

The projected upper bound is: 7,568.76.

The projected lower bound is: 6,455.67.

The projected closing price is: 7,012.22.


A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 64.6263. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 21 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 63.16. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 67 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 147.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX BTC= closed up 627.900 at 7,005.900. Volume was 58% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 56% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
6,236.4607,196.2006,142.2307,005.900 35,209

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6,521.00 6,610.70 7,235.19
Volatility: 67 53 89
Volume: 60,183 76,279 76,908

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX BTC= is currently 3.2% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 8 periods.

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