Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) indication of a bottoming crypto market

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) indication of a bottoming crypto market

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) indication of a bottoming crypto market

The recovery of the BTC/USD is an indication of a bottoming crypto market. Considering the +75 percent drop this year, odds are we may see a recovery this quarter. Aside from technical factors, the simmering trade war between the US and China could trigger capital flights from the stock market to Bitcoin which is borderless.

As such, last week’s 0.2 percent gain could increase as prices bounce off from the $6,000 support line and building on the bull pin bar of last week. In line with our last BTC/USD price analysis, it would be ideal if prices thrust past the resistance trend line connecting the last nine months highs and print above $7,000–$7,200 buy trigger line. Thereafter, first targets would be $8,500 and later $10,000.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 6,631.89.

The projected upper bound is: 6,752.22.

The projected lower bound is: 6,065.67.

The projected closing price is: 6,408.95.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 22 black candles for a net of 6 white candles.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 61.8048. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 42 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 50.37. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 88 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 49. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX BTC= closed down -3.540 at 6,410.730. Volume was 55% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 74% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
6,407.5406,525.2006,355.8606,410.730 33,739

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6,354.13 6,461.19 7,103.88
Volatility: 21 34 54
Volume: 57,406 62,988 76,485

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX BTC= is currently 9.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 18 periods.

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