Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) hinting at stronger odds of a downside move

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) hinting at stronger odds of a downside move

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) hinting at stronger odds of a downside move

The range we are watching today has 6525-fiat acting as interim support and 6606-fiat acting as interim resistance. We have already entered a long position towards resistance on a bounce from support, and a close above resistance will also have us enter a long entry towards 6638-fiat, the upside target in our false breakout area. On both the upside positions, our stop loss will be maintained 4-pips below the entry position to minimize our risks in case a pullback action appears.

Looking the other way, a pullback action, as mentioned above, will have us put a short position towards the support as a part of our intrarange strategy. A close below the support level will also open a decent short position towards 6500-fiat. In these positions, a stop loss somewhere 4-5 pips above the entry position will define our risk management perspective.

Meanwhile, we’ll be watching a newly formed ascending trendline in black as a potential pullback level.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

The projected upper bound is: 7,040.99.

The projected lower bound is: 6,090.56.

The projected closing price is: 6,565.78.


A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 62.0263. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 14 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 49.59. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 60 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 27. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 14 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX BTC= closed down -25.900 at 6,561.800. Volume was 59% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 74% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
6,542.0806,640.3006,522.8806,561.800 34,693

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6,562.51 6,614.70 7,292.67
Volatility: 20 45 90
Volume: 62,815 79,238 76,722

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX BTC= is currently 10.0% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume into BTC= (mildly bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.

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