Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) crucial contracting triangle formed

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) crucial contracting triangle formed

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) crucial contracting triangle formed

During the past three sessions, there were mostly range moves above the $6,385 support in bitcoin price against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair formed a decent support near the $6,385 level, but it struggled to gain traction above the $6,420 and $6,430 levels. The last swing low was formed at $6,386 before the price moved higher. It spiked above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $6,449 high to $6,386 low.

However, there was no close above the $6,425 level. The price was also rejected near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $6,449 high to $6,386 low. At the moment, the price is trading near the $6,400 level and below the 100 hourly simple moving average. More importantly, there is a crucial contracting triangle formed with resistance at $6,420 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Therefore, the pair is likely to make the next move either above $6,420 or below $6,385. If there is an upside break, the price may revisit the $6,450 level.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

The projected upper bound is: 6,614.58.

The projected lower bound is: 5,914.38.

The projected closing price is: 6,264.48.


A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 23.6698. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 36 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 41.92. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 82 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -234.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 16 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX BTC= closed up 22.640 at 6,265.200. Volume was 85% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 72% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
6,239.9206,389.1006,229.0006,265.200 11,290

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6,394.20 6,469.57 7,156.70
Volatility: 25 35 55
Volume: 46,434 65,343 76,304

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX BTC= is currently 12.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 12 periods.

The following two tabs change content below.
HEFFX has become one of Asia’s leading financial services companies with interests in Publishing, Private Equity, Capital Markets, Mining, Retail, Transport and Agriculture that span every continent of the world. Our clearing partners have unprecedented experience in Equities, Options, Forex and Commodities brokering, banking, physical metals dealing, floor brokering and trading.